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Vancouver Canucks vs Buffalo Sabres prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 9, 2027

NHL matchup

Vancouver Canucks at Buffalo Sabres

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 9, 2027.

March 9, 2027 · 6:00 PM CST
Away

Vancouver Canucks

2-10-1

43.8%
at
Home

Buffalo Sabres

4-4-3

56.2% Model pick
Model V2 pick: Buffalo Sabres at 56.2%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Vancouver Canucks logo
Away team

Vancouver Canucks

43.8%
Fair American +128
Fair decimal 2.28
Calculate value
Buffalo Sabres logo
Home team

Buffalo Sabres

56.2%
Fair American -128
Fair decimal 1.78
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Mar 9, 2027.

Buffalo Sabres

All Model Picks

Bets
7
Record
3-4
Net units
-1.66
ROI
-23.7%

Value Picks

Bets
6
Record
1-5
Net units
-4.07
ROI
-67.8%

Market Favourite

Bets
4
Record
2-2
Net units
-0.62
ROI
-15.6%
Full team betting results

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 9. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Vancouver Canucks

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

89:40 together · 10 games

xG share33.0%
Corsi for / against
62 / 102
Fenwick for / against
41 / 78
Corsi share
37.8%
Fenwick share
34.5%
xG for / against
2.98 / 6.05
All observed combinations

Buffalo Sabres

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

103:15 together · 10 games

xG share69.8%
Corsi for / against
117 / 54
Fenwick for / against
81 / 41
Corsi share
68.4%
Fenwick share
66.4%
xG for / against
6.30 / 2.72
Defense pair

81:19 together · 7 games

xG share52.5%
Corsi for / against
72 / 59
Fenwick for / against
50 / 42
Corsi share
55.0%
Fenwick share
54.3%
xG for / against
3.23 / 2.92
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Leevi Meriläinen

Vancouver Canucks · Last start: Oct 25

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
188
Save %
90.4
Goals allowed
18
Close-range shots %
37.8

Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen

Buffalo Sabres · Last start: Oct 24

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
163
Save %
89.0
Goals allowed
18
Close-range shots %
40.5
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 9, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Vancouver Canucks

xG for / game
2.09
xG against / game
4.36
xG differential / game
-2.26

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Buffalo Sabres

xG for / game
3.20
xG against / game
3.55
xG differential / game
-0.35

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 9, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Vancouver Canucks

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
43.8
Corsi share (%)
40.6
Fenwick share (%)
39.1
Faceoff win %
47.1
Penalties / game
3.8

Shots / game: 18.7 · Shooting: 10.7% · Avg distance: 32.3 ft

Buffalo Sabres

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
56.8
Corsi share (%)
51.0
Fenwick share (%)
49.5
Faceoff win %
48.2
Penalties / game
4.2

Shots / game: 26.4 · Shooting: 10.6% · Avg distance: 30.6 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Vancouver Canucks VAN
Metric
Buffalo Sabres BUF
5Points11
0.192Points %0.500
37Goals for31
60Goals against41
-23Goal differential-10
L4Current streakOT1
Road versus home
Vancouver Canucks VAN road
Metric
Buffalo Sabres BUF home
7Games6
1Wins3
3Points6
-15Goal differential-5
Last 10 games
Vancouver Canucks VAN
Metric
Buffalo Sabres BUF
0-9-1Record4-3-3
1Points11
20Goals for28
45Goals against35
-25Goal differential-7
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Vancouver Canucks VAN 4 wins
10 games reviewed
Buffalo Sabres BUF 6 wins
Total goals25 – 33
Goal differential -8 / +8
Goals per game2.5 / 3.3
Shots per game30.8 / 26.9
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Jan 6, 2026
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at Buffalo Sabres Buffalo Sabres
3 - 5 35 - 20 View
Dec 11, 2025
Buffalo Sabres Buffalo Sabres at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
3 - 2 15 - 32 View
Jan 21, 2025
Buffalo Sabres Buffalo Sabres at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
3 - 2 26 - 34 View
Nov 29, 2024
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at Buffalo Sabres Buffalo Sabres
4 - 3 22 - 34 View
Mar 19, 2024
Buffalo Sabres Buffalo Sabres at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
2 - 3 17 - 34 View
Jan 13, 2024
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at Buffalo Sabres Buffalo Sabres
1 - 0 23 - 26 View
Nov 15, 2022
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at Buffalo Sabres Buffalo Sabres
5 - 4 32 - 32 View
Oct 22, 2022
Buffalo Sabres Buffalo Sabres at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
5 - 1 27 - 30 View
Mar 20, 2022
Buffalo Sabres Buffalo Sabres at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
3 - 2 29 - 32 View
Oct 19, 2021
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at Buffalo Sabres Buffalo Sabres
2 - 5 34 - 43 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings VAN BUF