Toronto Maple Leafs vs Winnipeg Jets prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 17, 2026
Get the playerWON NHL prediction for the Toronto Maple Leafs at Winnipeg Jets matchup on January 17, 2026. playerWON’s machine-learning model currently gives the Winnipeg Jets a 57.7% win probability.
🤖 Model favours Winnipeg Jets
(57.7%)
Compare market odds, fair odds, and value below.
January 17, 2026
Visitor Model vs Market
Toronto Maple Leafs
42.3%
Fair American: +136
Fair Decimal: 2.36
Calculate Value →
📊 Season Overview
|
TOR
|
Metric |
WPG
|
|---|---|---|
| 78 | Points | 82 |
| 0.476 | Points % | 0.500 |
| 253 | Goals For | 231 |
| 299 | Goals Against | 260 |
| -46 | Goal Differential | -29 |
| L5 | Current Streak | L4 |
🚍 Road vs 🏠 Home
|
TOR (Road)
|
Metric |
WPG (Home)
|
|---|---|---|
| 41 | Games | 41 |
| 14 | Wins | 19 |
| 34 | Points | 44 |
| -36 | Goal Differential | -3 |
🔥 Last 10 Games
|
TOR
|
Metric |
WPG
|
|---|---|---|
| 2-7-1 | Record | 5-5-0 |
| 5 | Points | 10 |
| 28 | Goals For | 26 |
| 47 | Goals Against | 37 |
| -19 | Goal Differential | -11 |
🥅 Last 10 Head-to-Head Games
|
TOR
|
H2H Summary |
WPG
|
|---|---|---|
| 7-3 | Record | 3-7 |
| 39 | Total Goals | 31 |
| +8 | Goal Differential | -8 |
| 3.9 | Goals / Game | 3.1 |
| 31.5 | Shots / Game | 30.5 |
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2026 |
Winnipeg Jets
@
Toronto Maple Leafs
@
|
5 - 6 | 40 - 30 | View |
| Dec 23, 2024 |
Winnipeg Jets
@
Toronto Maple Leafs
@
|
5 - 2 | 27 - 25 | View |
| Oct 28, 2024 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
@
Winnipeg Jets
@
|
6 - 4 | 36 - 23 | View |
| Jan 27, 2024 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
@
Winnipeg Jets
@
|
4 - 2 | 30 - 26 | View |
| Jan 24, 2024 |
Winnipeg Jets
@
Toronto Maple Leafs
@
|
0 - 1 | 32 - 30 | View |
| Jan 19, 2023 |
Winnipeg Jets
@
Toronto Maple Leafs
@
|
1 - 4 | 38 - 27 | View |
| Oct 22, 2022 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
@
Winnipeg Jets
@
|
4 - 1 | 28 - 31 | View |
| Mar 31, 2022 |
Winnipeg Jets
@
Toronto Maple Leafs
@
|
3 - 7 | 23 - 38 | View |
| Dec 5, 2021 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
@
Winnipeg Jets
@
|
3 - 6 | 35 - 41 | View |
| May 14, 2021 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
@
Winnipeg Jets
@
|
2 - 4 | 36 - 24 | View |
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s machine-learning model, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.