Forward trio
100:17 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 105 / 94
- Fenwick for / against
- 72 / 73
- Corsi share
- 52.8%
- Fenwick share
- 49.7%
- xG for / against
- 5.18 / 4.79
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Vancouver Canucks prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 31, 2026
NHL matchup
Toronto Maple Leafs at Vancouver Canucks
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 31, 2026.
January 31, 2026
· 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game.
View final boxscore
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 31. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Toronto Maple Leafs
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Defense pair
88:52 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 80 / 96
- Fenwick for / against
- 55 / 70
- Corsi share
- 45.5%
- Fenwick share
- 44.0%
- xG for / against
- 3.89 / 4.20
Vancouver Canucks
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
38:05 together · 5 games
- Corsi for / against
- 46 / 32
- Fenwick for / against
- 27 / 19
- Corsi share
- 59.0%
- Fenwick share
- 58.7%
- xG for / against
- 1.33 / 1.20
Defense pair
78:19 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 80 / 77
- Fenwick for / against
- 62 / 56
- Corsi share
- 51.0%
- Fenwick share
- 52.5%
- xG for / against
- 4.90 / 5.01
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Anthony Stolarz
Toronto Maple Leafs · Last start: Jan 29
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 105
- Save %
- 81.9
- Goals allowed
- 19
- Close-range shots %
- 31.4
Nikita Tolopilo
Vancouver Canucks · Last start: Jan 29
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 141
- Save %
- 90.1
- Goals allowed
- 14
- Close-range shots %
- 34.0
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 31, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Toronto Maple Leafs
- xG for / game
- 3.02
- xG against / game
- 3.49
- xG differential / game
- -0.47
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Vancouver Canucks
- xG for / game
- 3.02
- xG against / game
- 4.02
- xG differential / game
- -1.00
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 31, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Toronto Maple Leafs
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 56.8
- Corsi share (%)
- 46.3
- Fenwick share (%)
- 46.0
- Faceoff win %
- 54.3
- Penalties / game
- 2.5
Shots / game: 28.6 · Shooting: 9.8% · Avg distance: 32.4 ft
Vancouver Canucks
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 57.0
- Corsi share (%)
- 46.5
- Fenwick share (%)
- 44.8
- Faceoff win %
- 50.1
- Penalties / game
- 2.8
Shots / game: 27.0 · Shooting: 8.1% · Avg distance: 31.6 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
TOR
|
Metric |
VAN
|
|---|---|---|
| 16 | Points | 5 |
| 0.615 | Points % | 0.192 |
| 50 | Goals for | 37 |
| 41 | Goals against | 60 |
| 9 | Goal differential | -23 |
| W4 | Current streak | L4 |
Road versus home
|
TOR road
|
Metric |
VAN home
|
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Games | 6 |
| 3 | Wins | 1 |
| 7 | Points | 2 |
| 10 | Goal differential | -8 |
Last 10 games
|
TOR
|
Metric |
VAN
|
|---|---|---|
| 6-2-2 | Record | 0-9-1 |
| 14 | Points | 1 |
| 44 | Goals for | 20 |
| 34 | Goals against | 45 |
| 10 | Goal differential | -25 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
TOR
4 wins
10
games reviewed
VAN
6 wins
Total goals30 – 29
Goal differential
+1
/
-1
Goals per game3.0 / 2.9
Shots per game33.2 / 25.9
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 |
Vancouver Canucks
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
0 - 5 | 29 - 24 | View |
| Feb 8, 2025 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
Vancouver Canucks
|
1 - 2 | 28 - 25 | View |
| Jan 11, 2025 |
Vancouver Canucks
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
3 - 0 | 18 - 20 | View |
| Jan 20, 2024 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
Vancouver Canucks
|
4 - 6 | 46 - 21 | View |
| Nov 11, 2023 |
Vancouver Canucks
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
2 - 5 | 33 - 22 | View |
| Mar 4, 2023 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
Vancouver Canucks
|
1 - 4 | 37 - 24 | View |
| Nov 12, 2022 |
Vancouver Canucks
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
2 - 3 | 29 - 34 | View |
| Mar 5, 2022 |
Vancouver Canucks
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
6 - 4 | 29 - 38 | View |
| Feb 12, 2022 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
Vancouver Canucks
|
2 - 3 | 53 - 24 | View |
| May 1, 2021 |
Vancouver Canucks
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
1 - 5 | 27 - 30 | View |