Toronto Maple Leafs vs St. Louis Blues prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 28, 2026

NHL matchup

Toronto Maple Leafs at St. Louis Blues

View the PlayerWON model prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 28, 2026.

March 28, 2026 · 6:00 PM CST
Model favourite St. Louis Blues at 54.8%
Prediction

Model versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Toronto Maple Leafs logo
Away team

Toronto Maple Leafs

45.2%
Fair American +121
Fair decimal 2.21
Calculate value
St. Louis Blues logo
Home team

St. Louis Blues

54.8%
Fair American -121
Fair decimal 1.82
Calculate value
Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR
Metric
St. Louis Blues STL
78Points86
0.476Points %0.524
253Goals for231
299Goals against258
-46Goal differential-27
L5Current streakW4
Road versus home
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR road
Metric
St. Louis Blues STL home
41Games41
14Wins20
34Points47
-36Goal differential-10
Last 10 games
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR
Metric
St. Louis Blues STL
2-7-1Record6-3-1
5Points13
28Goals for40
47Goals against31
-19Goal differential9
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Toronto Maple Leafs TOR 6 wins
10 games reviewed
St. Louis Blues STL 4 wins
Total goals38 – 37
Goal differential +1 / -1
Goals per game3.8 / 3.7
Shots per game33.4 / 26.9
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Nov 18, 2025
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs
2 - 3 29 - 29 View
Nov 2, 2024
Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
2 - 4 37 - 24 View
Oct 24, 2024
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs
5 - 1 27 - 41 View
Feb 19, 2024
Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
4 - 2 29 - 21 View
Feb 13, 2024
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs
1 - 4 15 - 32 View
Jan 3, 2023
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs
6 - 5 32 - 25 View
Dec 27, 2022
Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
5 - 4 37 - 34 View
Feb 19, 2022
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs
6 - 3 34 - 37 View
Jan 15, 2022
Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
6 - 5 40 - 25 View
Dec 7, 2019
Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
5 - 2 27 - 28 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s machine-learning model, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.