Forward trio
86:51 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 88 / 88
- Fenwick for / against
- 59 / 70
- Corsi share
- 50.0%
- Fenwick share
- 45.7%
- xG for / against
- 4.36 / 4.75
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Seattle Kraken prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 29, 2026
NHL matchup
Toronto Maple Leafs at Seattle Kraken
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 29, 2026.
January 29, 2026
· 9:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game.
View final boxscore
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 29. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Toronto Maple Leafs
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Defense pair
87:14 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 80 / 99
- Fenwick for / against
- 54 / 72
- Corsi share
- 44.7%
- Fenwick share
- 42.9%
- xG for / against
- 4.19 / 4.20
Seattle Kraken
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
54:54 together · 9 games
- Corsi for / against
- 44 / 47
- Fenwick for / against
- 34 / 36
- Corsi share
- 48.4%
- Fenwick share
- 48.6%
- xG for / against
- 2.69 / 2.23
Defense pair
147:02 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 119 / 144
- Fenwick for / against
- 86 / 105
- Corsi share
- 45.2%
- Fenwick share
- 45.0%
- xG for / against
- 6.34 / 7.59
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Joseph Woll
Toronto Maple Leafs · Last start: Jan 27
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 169
- Save %
- 87.0
- Goals allowed
- 22
- Close-range shots %
- 26.6
Philipp Grubauer
Seattle Kraken · Last start: Jan 27
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 131
- Save %
- 90.1
- Goals allowed
- 13
- Close-range shots %
- 38.2
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 29, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Toronto Maple Leafs
- xG for / game
- 3.01
- xG against / game
- 3.71
- xG differential / game
- -0.70
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Seattle Kraken
- xG for / game
- 2.80
- xG against / game
- 2.90
- xG differential / game
- -0.11
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 29, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Toronto Maple Leafs
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 54.7
- Corsi share (%)
- 44.1
- Fenwick share (%)
- 44.0
- Faceoff win %
- 56.9
- Penalties / game
- 3.1
Shots / game: 27.9 · Shooting: 11.1% · Avg distance: 32.4 ft
Seattle Kraken
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 50.4
- Corsi share (%)
- 45.4
- Fenwick share (%)
- 46.9
- Faceoff win %
- 48.5
- Penalties / game
- 3.3
Shots / game: 22.8 · Shooting: 13.6% · Avg distance: 33.1 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
TOR
|
Metric |
SEA
|
|---|---|---|
| 16 | Points | 15 |
| 0.615 | Points % | 0.625 |
| 50 | Goals for | 45 |
| 41 | Goals against | 42 |
| 9 | Goal differential | 3 |
| W4 | Current streak | L1 |
Road versus home
|
TOR road
|
Metric |
SEA home
|
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Games | 5 |
| 3 | Wins | 3 |
| 7 | Points | 6 |
| 10 | Goal differential | 0 |
Last 10 games
|
TOR
|
Metric |
SEA
|
|---|---|---|
| 6-2-2 | Record | 6-3-1 |
| 14 | Points | 13 |
| 44 | Goals for | 38 |
| 34 | Goals against | 38 |
| 10 | Goal differential | 0 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
TOR
7 wins
9
games reviewed
SEA
2 wins
Total goals35 – 22
Goal differential
+13
/
-13
Goals per game3.89 / 2.44
Shots per game29.0 / 27.2
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2025 |
Seattle Kraken
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
4 - 3 | 28 - 30 | View |
| Feb 6, 2025 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
Seattle Kraken
|
3 - 1 | 30 - 27 | View |
| Oct 31, 2024 |
Seattle Kraken
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
1 - 4 | 25 - 30 | View |
| Jan 21, 2024 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
Seattle Kraken
|
3 - 1 | 26 - 17 | View |
| Nov 30, 2023 |
Seattle Kraken
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
3 - 4 | 40 - 28 | View |
| Feb 26, 2023 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
Seattle Kraken
|
5 - 1 | 33 - 27 | View |
| Jan 5, 2023 |
Seattle Kraken
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
5 - 1 | 26 - 27 | View |
| Mar 8, 2022 |
Seattle Kraken
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
4 - 6 | 30 - 32 | View |
| Feb 14, 2022 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
Seattle Kraken
|
6 - 2 | 25 - 25 | View |