Forward trio
48:36 together · 8 games
- Corsi for / against
- 47 / 36
- Fenwick for / against
- 40 / 29
- Corsi share
- 56.6%
- Fenwick share
- 58.0%
- xG for / against
- 3.80 / 1.69
Toronto Maple Leafs vs San Jose Sharks prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for April 2, 2026
NHL matchup
Toronto Maple Leafs at San Jose Sharks
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for April 2, 2026.
April 2, 2026
· 9:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game.
View final boxscore
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Apr 2. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Toronto Maple Leafs
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Defense pair
68:07 together · 9 games
- Corsi for / against
- 42 / 61
- Fenwick for / against
- 31 / 49
- Corsi share
- 40.8%
- Fenwick share
- 38.8%
- xG for / against
- 2.34 / 2.87
San Jose Sharks
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
57:49 together · 8 games
- Corsi for / against
- 61 / 43
- Fenwick for / against
- 36 / 37
- Corsi share
- 58.7%
- Fenwick share
- 49.3%
- xG for / against
- 1.95 / 3.03
Defense pair
106:10 together · 9 games
- Corsi for / against
- 101 / 77
- Fenwick for / against
- 67 / 56
- Corsi share
- 56.7%
- Fenwick share
- 54.5%
- xG for / against
- 3.97 / 3.35
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Anthony Stolarz
Toronto Maple Leafs · Last start: Mar 30
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 169
- Save %
- 91.1
- Goals allowed
- 15
- Close-range shots %
- 35.5
Yaroslav Askarov
San Jose Sharks · Last start: Apr 1
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 127
- Save %
- 89.0
- Goals allowed
- 14
- Close-range shots %
- 33.9
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Apr 2, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Toronto Maple Leafs
- xG for / game
- 2.79
- xG against / game
- 4.05
- xG differential / game
- -1.25
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
San Jose Sharks
- xG for / game
- 2.73
- xG against / game
- 2.96
- xG differential / game
- -0.23
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Apr 2, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Toronto Maple Leafs
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 45.7
- Corsi share (%)
- 38.6
- Fenwick share (%)
- 39.0
- Faceoff win %
- 47.2
- Penalties / game
- 6.7
Shots / game: 23.4 · Shooting: 13.7% · Avg distance: 34.8 ft
San Jose Sharks
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 55.5
- Corsi share (%)
- 51.2
- Fenwick share (%)
- 51.1
- Faceoff win %
- 47.9
- Penalties / game
- 3.5
Shots / game: 26.4 · Shooting: 10.6% · Avg distance: 31.7 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
TOR
|
Metric |
SJS
|
|---|---|---|
| 16 | Points | 13 |
| 0.533 | Points % | 0.500 |
| 56 | Goals for | 37 |
| 51 | Goals against | 45 |
| 5 | Goal differential | -8 |
| L2 | Current streak | L2 |
Road versus home
|
TOR road
|
Metric |
SJS home
|
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Games | 5 |
| 3 | Wins | 2 |
| 7 | Points | 4 |
| 6 | Goal differential | -5 |
Last 10 games
|
TOR
|
Metric |
SJS
|
|---|---|---|
| 5-4-1 | Record | 4-5-1 |
| 11 | Points | 9 |
| 42 | Goals for | 28 |
| 36 | Goals against | 33 |
| 6 | Goal differential | -5 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
TOR
4 wins
10
games reviewed
SJS
6 wins
Total goals35 – 30
Goal differential
+5
/
-5
Goals per game3.5 / 3.0
Shots per game32.0 / 29.5
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2025 |
San Jose Sharks
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
3 - 2 | 32 - 30 | View |
| Mar 27, 2025 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
San Jose Sharks
|
5 - 6 | 35 - 35 | View |
| Mar 3, 2025 |
San Jose Sharks
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
3 - 2 | 22 - 27 | View |
| Jan 9, 2024 |
San Jose Sharks
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
1 - 7 | 23 - 46 | View |
| Jan 6, 2024 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
San Jose Sharks
|
4 - 1 | 32 - 24 | View |
| Nov 30, 2022 |
San Jose Sharks
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
1 - 3 | 24 - 32 | View |
| Oct 27, 2022 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
San Jose Sharks
|
3 - 4 | 25 - 31 | View |
| Nov 26, 2021 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
San Jose Sharks
|
4 - 1 | 33 - 35 | View |
| Oct 22, 2021 |
San Jose Sharks
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
5 - 3 | 31 - 33 | View |
| Mar 3, 2020 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
San Jose Sharks
|
2 - 5 | 27 - 38 | View |