Away team
Toronto Maple Leafs
41.6%
Fair American
+140
Fair decimal
2.4
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Pittsburgh Penguins prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for November 28, 2026
NHL matchup
Toronto Maple Leafs at Pittsburgh Penguins
View the PlayerWON model prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for November 28, 2026.
November 28, 2026
· 6:00 PM CST
Model favourite
Pittsburgh Penguins
at 58.4%
Prediction
Model versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Pittsburgh Penguins
58.4%
Fair American
-140
Fair decimal
1.71
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
TOR
|
Metric |
PIT
|
|---|---|---|
| 78 | Points | 98 |
| 0.476 | Points % | 0.598 |
| 253 | Goals for | 293 |
| 299 | Goals against | 268 |
| -46 | Goal differential | 25 |
| L5 | Current streak | L3 |
Road versus home
|
TOR road
|
Metric |
PIT home
|
|---|---|---|
| 41 | Games | 41 |
| 14 | Wins | 20 |
| 34 | Points | 48 |
| -36 | Goal differential | 7 |
Last 10 games
|
TOR
|
Metric |
PIT
|
|---|---|---|
| 2-7-1 | Record | 5-5-0 |
| 5 | Points | 10 |
| 28 | Goals for | 46 |
| 47 | Goals against | 40 |
| -19 | Goal differential | 6 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
TOR
8 wins
10
games reviewed
PIT
2 wins
Total goals45 – 26
Goal differential
+19
/
-19
Goals per game4.5 / 2.6
Shots per game29.9 / 32.2
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2025 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
3 - 6 | 32 - 31 | View |
| Nov 29, 2025 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
7 - 2 | 23 - 35 | View |
| Nov 3, 2025 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
3 - 4 | 37 - 20 | View |
| Mar 2, 2025 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
6 - 5 | 33 - 34 | View |
| Dec 7, 2024 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
2 - 5 | 27 - 29 | View |
| Oct 12, 2024 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
2 - 4 | 23 - 33 | View |
| Apr 8, 2024 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
2 - 3 | 33 - 23 | View |
| Dec 16, 2023 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
0 - 7 | 38 - 35 | View |
| Nov 25, 2023 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
2 - 3 | 33 - 35 | View |
| Nov 26, 2022 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
4 - 1 | 41 - 26 | View |