Toronto Maple Leafs vs Ottawa Senators prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for April 15, 2026

NHL matchup

Toronto Maple Leafs at Ottawa Senators

View the PlayerWON model prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for April 15, 2026.

April 15, 2026 · 6:30 PM CST
Away

Toronto Maple Leafs

32-36-14
at
Home

Ottawa Senators

44-27-11
Model favourite Ottawa Senators at 70.5%
Prediction

Model versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Toronto Maple Leafs logo
Away team

Toronto Maple Leafs

29.5%
Fair American +239
Fair decimal 3.39
Best market +173 · BetOnline.ag
Market implied 36.6%
Edge -7.1%
Expected value -19.5%
Calculate value
Ottawa Senators logo
Home team

Ottawa Senators

70.5%
Fair American -239
Fair decimal 1.42
Best market -198 · BetOnline.ag
Market implied 66.4%
Edge +4.1%
Expected value +6.1%
Calculate value
Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR
Metric
Ottawa Senators OTT
78Points99
0.476Points %0.604
253Goals for278
299Goals against246
-46Goal differential32
L5Current streakW1
Road versus home
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR road
Metric
Ottawa Senators OTT home
41Games41
14Wins23
34Points52
-36Goal differential31
Last 10 games
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR
Metric
Ottawa Senators OTT
2-7-1Record6-3-1
5Points13
28Goals for36
47Goals against26
-19Goal differential10
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Toronto Maple Leafs TOR 2 wins
10 games reviewed
Ottawa Senators OTT 8 wins
Total goals26 – 42
Goal differential -16 / +16
Goals per game2.6 / 4.2
Shots per game27.2 / 33.7
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Mar 21, 2026
Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs at Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators
2 - 5 14 - 43 View
Feb 28, 2026
Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators at Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs
5 - 2 40 - 23 View
Dec 27, 2025
Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators at Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs
5 - 7 31 - 33 View
Mar 15, 2025
Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators at Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs
4 - 2 25 - 23 View
Jan 25, 2025
Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs at Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators
1 - 2 29 - 23 View
Nov 12, 2024
Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators at Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs
3 - 0 41 - 27 View
Feb 10, 2024
Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs at Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators
3 - 5 35 - 32 View
Dec 27, 2023
Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators at Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs
4 - 2 30 - 36 View
Dec 7, 2023
Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs at Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators
4 - 3 22 - 41 View
Nov 8, 2023
Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators at Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs
6 - 3 31 - 30 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s machine-learning model, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings TOR OTT