Away team
Toronto Maple Leafs
32.9%
Fair American
+204
Fair decimal
3.04
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Ottawa Senators prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 21, 2026
NHL matchup
Toronto Maple Leafs at Ottawa Senators
View the PlayerWON model prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 21, 2026.
March 21, 2026
· 6:00 PM CST
Model favourite
Ottawa Senators
at 67.1%
Prediction
Model versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Ottawa Senators
67.1%
Fair American
-204
Fair decimal
1.49
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
TOR
|
Metric |
OTT
|
|---|---|---|
| 78 | Points | 99 |
| 0.476 | Points % | 0.604 |
| 253 | Goals for | 278 |
| 299 | Goals against | 246 |
| -46 | Goal differential | 32 |
| L5 | Current streak | W1 |
Road versus home
|
TOR road
|
Metric |
OTT home
|
|---|---|---|
| 41 | Games | 41 |
| 14 | Wins | 23 |
| 34 | Points | 52 |
| -36 | Goal differential | 31 |
Last 10 games
|
TOR
|
Metric |
OTT
|
|---|---|---|
| 2-7-1 | Record | 6-3-1 |
| 5 | Points | 13 |
| 28 | Goals for | 36 |
| 47 | Goals against | 26 |
| -19 | Goal differential | 10 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
TOR
3 wins
10
games reviewed
OTT
7 wins
Total goals27 – 37
Goal differential
-10
/
+10
Goals per game2.7 / 3.7
Shots per game27.8 / 32.5
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 |
Ottawa Senators
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
5 - 2 | 40 - 23 | View |
| Dec 27, 2025 |
Ottawa Senators
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
5 - 7 | 31 - 33 | View |
| Mar 15, 2025 |
Ottawa Senators
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
4 - 2 | 25 - 23 | View |
| Jan 25, 2025 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
Ottawa Senators
|
1 - 2 | 29 - 23 | View |
| Nov 12, 2024 |
Ottawa Senators
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
3 - 0 | 41 - 27 | View |
| Feb 10, 2024 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
Ottawa Senators
|
3 - 5 | 35 - 32 | View |
| Dec 27, 2023 |
Ottawa Senators
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
4 - 2 | 30 - 36 | View |
| Dec 7, 2023 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
Ottawa Senators
|
4 - 3 | 22 - 41 | View |
| Nov 8, 2023 |
Ottawa Senators
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
6 - 3 | 31 - 30 | View |
| Apr 1, 2023 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
Ottawa Senators
|
3 - 0 | 20 - 31 | View |