Toronto Maple Leafs vs Ottawa Senators prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 21, 2026
Get the playerWON NHL prediction for the Toronto Maple Leafs at Ottawa Senators matchup on March 21, 2026. playerWON’s machine-learning model currently gives the Ottawa Senators a 67.1% win probability.
🤖 Model favours Ottawa Senators
(67.1%)
Compare market odds, fair odds, and value below.
March 21, 2026
Visitor Model vs Market
Toronto Maple Leafs
32.9%
Fair American: +204
Fair Decimal: 3.04
Calculate Value →
📊 Season Overview
|
TOR
|
Metric |
OTT
|
|---|---|---|
| 78 | Points | 99 |
| 0.476 | Points % | 0.604 |
| 253 | Goals For | 278 |
| 299 | Goals Against | 246 |
| -46 | Goal Differential | 32 |
| L5 | Current Streak | W1 |
🚍 Road vs 🏠 Home
|
TOR (Road)
|
Metric |
OTT (Home)
|
|---|---|---|
| 41 | Games | 41 |
| 14 | Wins | 23 |
| 34 | Points | 52 |
| -36 | Goal Differential | 31 |
🔥 Last 10 Games
|
TOR
|
Metric |
OTT
|
|---|---|---|
| 2-7-1 | Record | 6-3-1 |
| 5 | Points | 13 |
| 28 | Goals For | 36 |
| 47 | Goals Against | 26 |
| -19 | Goal Differential | 10 |
🥅 Last 10 Head-to-Head Games
|
TOR
|
H2H Summary |
OTT
|
|---|---|---|
| 3-7 | Record | 7-3 |
| 27 | Total Goals | 37 |
| -10 | Goal Differential | +10 |
| 2.7 | Goals / Game | 3.7 |
| 27.8 | Shots / Game | 32.5 |
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 |
Ottawa Senators
@
Toronto Maple Leafs
@
|
5 - 2 | 40 - 23 | View |
| Dec 27, 2025 |
Ottawa Senators
@
Toronto Maple Leafs
@
|
5 - 7 | 31 - 33 | View |
| Mar 15, 2025 |
Ottawa Senators
@
Toronto Maple Leafs
@
|
4 - 2 | 25 - 23 | View |
| Jan 25, 2025 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
@
Ottawa Senators
@
|
1 - 2 | 29 - 23 | View |
| Nov 12, 2024 |
Ottawa Senators
@
Toronto Maple Leafs
@
|
3 - 0 | 41 - 27 | View |
| Feb 10, 2024 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
@
Ottawa Senators
@
|
3 - 5 | 35 - 32 | View |
| Dec 27, 2023 |
Ottawa Senators
@
Toronto Maple Leafs
@
|
4 - 2 | 30 - 36 | View |
| Dec 7, 2023 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
@
Ottawa Senators
@
|
4 - 3 | 22 - 41 | View |
| Nov 8, 2023 |
Ottawa Senators
@
Toronto Maple Leafs
@
|
6 - 3 | 31 - 30 | View |
| Apr 1, 2023 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
@
Ottawa Senators
@
|
3 - 0 | 20 - 31 | View |
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s machine-learning model, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.