Toronto Maple Leafs vs New York Rangers prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 5, 2026
Get the playerWON NHL prediction for the Toronto Maple Leafs at New York Rangers matchup on March 5, 2026. playerWON’s machine-learning model currently gives the Toronto Maple Leafs a 52.8% win probability.
🤖 Model favours Toronto Maple Leafs
(52.8%)
Compare market odds, fair odds, and value below.
March 5, 2026
Visitor Model vs Market
Toronto Maple Leafs
52.8%
Fair American: -112
Fair Decimal: 1.89
Calculate Value →
Home Model vs Market
New York Rangers
47.2%
Fair American: +112
Fair Decimal: 2.12
Calculate Value →
📊 Season Overview
|
TOR
|
Metric |
NYR
|
|---|---|---|
| 78 | Points | 77 |
| 0.476 | Points % | 0.470 |
| 253 | Goals For | 238 |
| 299 | Goals Against | 250 |
| -46 | Goal Differential | -12 |
| L5 | Current Streak | W1 |
🚍 Road vs 🏠 Home
|
TOR (Road)
|
Metric |
NYR (Home)
|
|---|---|---|
| 41 | Games | 41 |
| 14 | Wins | 14 |
| 34 | Points | 35 |
| -36 | Goal Differential | -18 |
🔥 Last 10 Games
|
TOR
|
Metric |
NYR
|
|---|---|---|
| 2-7-1 | Record | 6-4-0 |
| 5 | Points | 12 |
| 28 | Goals For | 36 |
| 47 | Goals Against | 20 |
| -19 | Goal Differential | 16 |
🥅 Last 10 Head-to-Head Games
|
TOR
|
H2H Summary |
NYR
|
|---|---|---|
| 7-3 | Record | 3-7 |
| 30 | Total Goals | 28 |
| +2 | Goal Differential | -2 |
| 3.0 | Goals / Game | 2.8 |
| 27.9 | Shots / Game | 29.8 |
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2025 |
New York Rangers
@
Toronto Maple Leafs
@
|
1 - 2 | 29 - 24 | View |
| Mar 20, 2025 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
@
New York Rangers
@
|
4 - 3 | 28 - 30 | View |
| Feb 28, 2025 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
@
New York Rangers
@
|
3 - 2 | 16 - 35 | View |
| Oct 19, 2024 |
New York Rangers
@
Toronto Maple Leafs
@
|
4 - 1 | 29 - 35 | View |
| Mar 2, 2024 |
New York Rangers
@
Toronto Maple Leafs
@
|
3 - 4 | 35 - 34 | View |
| Dec 19, 2023 |
New York Rangers
@
Toronto Maple Leafs
@
|
5 - 2 | 36 - 33 | View |
| Dec 12, 2023 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
@
New York Rangers
@
|
7 - 3 | 30 - 31 | View |
| Apr 13, 2023 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
@
New York Rangers
@
|
3 - 2 | 21 - 24 | View |
| Jan 25, 2023 |
New York Rangers
@
Toronto Maple Leafs
@
|
2 - 3 | 29 - 35 | View |
| Dec 15, 2022 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
@
New York Rangers
@
|
1 - 3 | 23 - 20 | View |
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s machine-learning model, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.