Away team
Toronto Maple Leafs
37.5%
Fair American
+167
Fair decimal
2.67
Toronto Maple Leafs vs New York Islanders prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for November 23, 2026
NHL matchup
Toronto Maple Leafs at New York Islanders
View the PlayerWON model prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for November 23, 2026.
November 23, 2026
· 6:30 PM CST
Model favourite
New York Islanders
at 62.5%
Prediction
Model versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
New York Islanders
62.5%
Fair American
-167
Fair decimal
1.6
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
TOR
|
Metric |
NYI
|
|---|---|---|
| 78 | Points | 91 |
| 0.476 | Points % | 0.555 |
| 253 | Goals for | 233 |
| 299 | Goals against | 241 |
| -46 | Goal differential | -8 |
| L5 | Current streak | L3 |
Road versus home
|
TOR road
|
Metric |
NYI home
|
|---|---|---|
| 41 | Games | 41 |
| 14 | Wins | 22 |
| 34 | Points | 46 |
| -36 | Goal differential | -2 |
Last 10 games
|
TOR
|
Metric |
NYI
|
|---|---|---|
| 2-7-1 | Record | 3-7-0 |
| 5 | Points | 6 |
| 28 | Goals for | 24 |
| 47 | Goals against | 35 |
| -19 | Goal differential | -11 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
TOR
2 wins
10
games reviewed
NYI
8 wins
Total goals25 – 38
Goal differential
-13
/
+13
Goals per game2.5 / 3.8
Shots per game28.7 / 31.8
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2026 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
New York Islanders
|
3 - 5 | 16 - 44 | View |
| Mar 17, 2026 |
New York Islanders
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
3 - 1 | 34 - 27 | View |
| Jan 3, 2026 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
New York Islanders
|
3 - 4 | 21 - 25 | View |
| Jan 2, 2025 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
New York Islanders
|
2 - 1 | 31 - 33 | View |
| Dec 31, 2024 |
New York Islanders
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
1 - 3 | 31 - 25 | View |
| Dec 21, 2024 |
New York Islanders
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
6 - 3 | 34 - 29 | View |
| Feb 5, 2024 |
New York Islanders
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
3 - 2 | 29 - 36 | View |
| Jan 11, 2024 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
New York Islanders
|
3 - 4 | 35 - 30 | View |
| Dec 11, 2023 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
New York Islanders
|
3 - 4 | 40 - 29 | View |
| Mar 21, 2023 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
New York Islanders
|
2 - 7 | 27 - 29 | View |