Away team
Toronto Maple Leafs
34.7%
Fair American
+188
Fair decimal
2.88
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Montréal Canadiens prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 22, 2027
NHL matchup
Toronto Maple Leafs at Montréal Canadiens
View the PlayerWON model prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 22, 2027.
March 22, 2027
· 6:30 PM CST
Model favourite
Montréal Canadiens
at 65.3%
Prediction
Model versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Montréal Canadiens
65.3%
Fair American
-188
Fair decimal
1.53
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
TOR
|
Metric |
MTL
|
|---|---|---|
| 78 | Points | 106 |
| 0.476 | Points % | 0.646 |
| 253 | Goals for | 283 |
| 299 | Goals against | 256 |
| -46 | Goal differential | 27 |
| L5 | Current streak | L1 |
Road versus home
|
TOR road
|
Metric |
MTL home
|
|---|---|---|
| 41 | Games | 41 |
| 14 | Wins | 24 |
| 34 | Points | 50 |
| -36 | Goal differential | 10 |
Last 10 games
|
TOR
|
Metric |
MTL
|
|---|---|---|
| 2-7-1 | Record | 7-3-0 |
| 5 | Points | 14 |
| 28 | Goals for | 28 |
| 47 | Goals against | 24 |
| -19 | Goal differential | 4 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
TOR
6 wins
10
games reviewed
MTL
4 wins
Total goals28 – 21
Goal differential
+7
/
-7
Goals per game2.8 / 2.1
Shots per game29.5 / 28.2
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
Montréal Canadiens
|
1 - 3 | 18 - 33 | View |
| Dec 6, 2025 |
Montréal Canadiens
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
2 - 1 | 34 - 23 | View |
| Nov 22, 2025 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
Montréal Canadiens
|
2 - 5 | 26 - 29 | View |
| Oct 8, 2025 |
Montréal Canadiens
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
2 - 5 | 31 - 27 | View |
| Apr 12, 2025 |
Montréal Canadiens
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
0 - 1 | 15 - 35 | View |
| Jan 18, 2025 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
Montréal Canadiens
|
7 - 3 | 34 - 35 | View |
| Nov 9, 2024 |
Montréal Canadiens
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
1 - 4 | 21 - 27 | View |
| Oct 9, 2024 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
Montréal Canadiens
|
0 - 1 | 48 - 27 | View |
| Apr 6, 2024 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
Montréal Canadiens
|
4 - 2 | 30 - 26 | View |
| Mar 9, 2024 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
Montréal Canadiens
|
3 - 2 | 27 - 31 | View |