Away team
Toronto Maple Leafs
32.6%
Fair American
+207
Fair decimal
3.07
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Montréal Canadiens prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for December 26, 2026
NHL matchup
Toronto Maple Leafs at Montréal Canadiens
View the PlayerWON model prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for December 26, 2026.
December 26, 2026
· 6:00 PM CST
Model favourite
Montréal Canadiens
at 67.4%
Prediction
Model versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Montréal Canadiens
67.4%
Fair American
-207
Fair decimal
1.48
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
TOR
|
Metric |
MTL
|
|---|---|---|
| 78 | Points | 106 |
| 0.476 | Points % | 0.646 |
| 253 | Goals for | 283 |
| 299 | Goals against | 256 |
| -46 | Goal differential | 27 |
| L5 | Current streak | L1 |
Road versus home
|
TOR road
|
Metric |
MTL home
|
|---|---|---|
| 41 | Games | 41 |
| 14 | Wins | 24 |
| 34 | Points | 50 |
| -36 | Goal differential | 10 |
Last 10 games
|
TOR
|
Metric |
MTL
|
|---|---|---|
| 2-7-1 | Record | 7-3-0 |
| 5 | Points | 14 |
| 28 | Goals for | 28 |
| 47 | Goals against | 24 |
| -19 | Goal differential | 4 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
TOR
6 wins
10
games reviewed
MTL
4 wins
Total goals28 – 21
Goal differential
+7
/
-7
Goals per game2.8 / 2.1
Shots per game29.5 / 28.2
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
Montréal Canadiens
|
1 - 3 | 18 - 33 | View |
| Dec 6, 2025 |
Montréal Canadiens
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
2 - 1 | 34 - 23 | View |
| Nov 22, 2025 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
Montréal Canadiens
|
2 - 5 | 26 - 29 | View |
| Oct 8, 2025 |
Montréal Canadiens
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
2 - 5 | 31 - 27 | View |
| Apr 12, 2025 |
Montréal Canadiens
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
0 - 1 | 15 - 35 | View |
| Jan 18, 2025 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
Montréal Canadiens
|
7 - 3 | 34 - 35 | View |
| Nov 9, 2024 |
Montréal Canadiens
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
1 - 4 | 21 - 27 | View |
| Oct 9, 2024 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
Montréal Canadiens
|
0 - 1 | 48 - 27 | View |
| Apr 6, 2024 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
Montréal Canadiens
|
4 - 2 | 30 - 26 | View |
| Mar 9, 2024 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
Montréal Canadiens
|
3 - 2 | 27 - 31 | View |