Away team
Toronto Maple Leafs
39.4%
Fair American
+154
Fair decimal
2.54
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Montréal Canadiens prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 10, 2026
NHL matchup
Toronto Maple Leafs at Montréal Canadiens
View the PlayerWON model prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 10, 2026.
March 10, 2026
· 6:00 PM CST
Model favourite
Montréal Canadiens
at 60.6%
Prediction
Model versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Montréal Canadiens
60.6%
Fair American
-154
Fair decimal
1.65
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
TOR
|
Metric |
MTL
|
|---|---|---|
| 78 | Points | 106 |
| 0.476 | Points % | 0.646 |
| 253 | Goals for | 283 |
| 299 | Goals against | 256 |
| -46 | Goal differential | 27 |
| L5 | Current streak | L1 |
Road versus home
|
TOR road
|
Metric |
MTL home
|
|---|---|---|
| 41 | Games | 41 |
| 14 | Wins | 24 |
| 34 | Points | 50 |
| -36 | Goal differential | 10 |
Last 10 games
|
TOR
|
Metric |
MTL
|
|---|---|---|
| 2-7-1 | Record | 7-3-0 |
| 5 | Points | 14 |
| 28 | Goals for | 28 |
| 47 | Goals against | 24 |
| -19 | Goal differential | 4 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
TOR
7 wins
10
games reviewed
MTL
3 wins
Total goals33 – 23
Goal differential
+10
/
-10
Goals per game3.3 / 2.3
Shots per game31.9 / 27.3
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 |
Montréal Canadiens
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
2 - 1 | 34 - 23 | View |
| Nov 22, 2025 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
Montréal Canadiens
|
2 - 5 | 26 - 29 | View |
| Oct 8, 2025 |
Montréal Canadiens
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
2 - 5 | 31 - 27 | View |
| Apr 12, 2025 |
Montréal Canadiens
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
0 - 1 | 15 - 35 | View |
| Jan 18, 2025 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
Montréal Canadiens
|
7 - 3 | 34 - 35 | View |
| Nov 9, 2024 |
Montréal Canadiens
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
1 - 4 | 21 - 27 | View |
| Oct 9, 2024 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
Montréal Canadiens
|
0 - 1 | 48 - 27 | View |
| Apr 6, 2024 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
Montréal Canadiens
|
4 - 2 | 30 - 26 | View |
| Mar 9, 2024 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
Montréal Canadiens
|
3 - 2 | 27 - 31 | View |
| Oct 11, 2023 |
Montréal Canadiens
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
5 - 6 | 24 - 42 | View |