Toronto Maple Leafs vs Montréal Canadiens prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 10, 2026
Get the playerWON NHL prediction for the Toronto Maple Leafs at Montréal Canadiens matchup on March 10, 2026. playerWON’s machine-learning model currently gives the Montréal Canadiens a 60.6% win probability.
🤖 Model favours Montréal Canadiens
(60.6%)
Compare market odds, fair odds, and value below.
March 10, 2026
Visitor Model vs Market
Toronto Maple Leafs
39.4%
Fair American: +154
Fair Decimal: 2.54
Calculate Value →
Home Model vs Market
Montréal Canadiens
60.6%
Fair American: -154
Fair Decimal: 1.65
Calculate Value →
📊 Season Overview
|
TOR
|
Metric |
MTL
|
|---|---|---|
| 78 | Points | 106 |
| 0.476 | Points % | 0.646 |
| 253 | Goals For | 283 |
| 299 | Goals Against | 256 |
| -46 | Goal Differential | 27 |
| L5 | Current Streak | L1 |
🚍 Road vs 🏠 Home
|
TOR (Road)
|
Metric |
MTL (Home)
|
|---|---|---|
| 41 | Games | 41 |
| 14 | Wins | 24 |
| 34 | Points | 50 |
| -36 | Goal Differential | 10 |
🔥 Last 10 Games
|
TOR
|
Metric |
MTL
|
|---|---|---|
| 2-7-1 | Record | 7-3-0 |
| 5 | Points | 14 |
| 28 | Goals For | 28 |
| 47 | Goals Against | 24 |
| -19 | Goal Differential | 4 |
🥅 Last 10 Head-to-Head Games
|
TOR
|
H2H Summary |
MTL
|
|---|---|---|
| 7-3 | Record | 3-7 |
| 33 | Total Goals | 23 |
| +10 | Goal Differential | -10 |
| 3.3 | Goals / Game | 2.3 |
| 31.9 | Shots / Game | 27.3 |
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 |
Montréal Canadiens
@
Toronto Maple Leafs
@
|
2 - 1 | 34 - 23 | View |
| Nov 22, 2025 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
@
Montréal Canadiens
@
|
2 - 5 | 26 - 29 | View |
| Oct 8, 2025 |
Montréal Canadiens
@
Toronto Maple Leafs
@
|
2 - 5 | 31 - 27 | View |
| Apr 12, 2025 |
Montréal Canadiens
@
Toronto Maple Leafs
@
|
0 - 1 | 15 - 35 | View |
| Jan 18, 2025 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
@
Montréal Canadiens
@
|
7 - 3 | 34 - 35 | View |
| Nov 9, 2024 |
Montréal Canadiens
@
Toronto Maple Leafs
@
|
1 - 4 | 21 - 27 | View |
| Oct 9, 2024 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
@
Montréal Canadiens
@
|
0 - 1 | 48 - 27 | View |
| Apr 6, 2024 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
@
Montréal Canadiens
@
|
4 - 2 | 30 - 26 | View |
| Mar 9, 2024 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
@
Montréal Canadiens
@
|
3 - 2 | 27 - 31 | View |
| Oct 11, 2023 |
Montréal Canadiens
@
Toronto Maple Leafs
@
|
5 - 6 | 24 - 42 | View |
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s machine-learning model, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.