Away team
Toronto Maple Leafs
36.5%
Fair American
+174
Fair decimal
2.74
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Detroit Red Wings prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for December 22, 2026
NHL matchup
Toronto Maple Leafs at Detroit Red Wings
View the PlayerWON model prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for December 22, 2026.
December 22, 2026
· 6:30 PM CST
Model favourite
Detroit Red Wings
at 63.5%
Prediction
Model versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Detroit Red Wings
63.5%
Fair American
-174
Fair decimal
1.57
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
TOR
|
Metric |
DET
|
|---|---|---|
| 78 | Points | 92 |
| 0.476 | Points % | 0.561 |
| 253 | Goals for | 241 |
| 299 | Goals against | 258 |
| -46 | Goal differential | -17 |
| L5 | Current streak | L1 |
Road versus home
|
TOR road
|
Metric |
DET home
|
|---|---|---|
| 41 | Games | 41 |
| 14 | Wins | 21 |
| 34 | Points | 46 |
| -36 | Goal differential | -10 |
Last 10 games
|
TOR
|
Metric |
DET
|
|---|---|---|
| 2-7-1 | Record | 2-6-2 |
| 5 | Points | 6 |
| 28 | Goals for | 29 |
| 47 | Goals against | 45 |
| -19 | Goal differential | -16 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
TOR
3 wins
10
games reviewed
DET
7 wins
Total goals28 – 33
Goal differential
-5
/
+5
Goals per game2.8 / 3.3
Shots per game27.5 / 29.0
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2026 |
Detroit Red Wings
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
2 - 1 | 41 - 31 | View |
| Dec 28, 2025 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
Detroit Red Wings
|
2 - 3 | 27 - 36 | View |
| Oct 13, 2025 |
Detroit Red Wings
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
3 - 2 | 15 - 40 | View |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
Detroit Red Wings
|
3 - 6 | 23 - 35 | View |
| Apr 17, 2025 |
Detroit Red Wings
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
3 - 4 | 34 - 20 | View |
| Dec 27, 2024 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
Detroit Red Wings
|
5 - 2 | 23 - 25 | View |
| Dec 14, 2024 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
Detroit Red Wings
|
2 - 4 | 25 - 26 | View |
| Nov 8, 2024 |
Detroit Red Wings
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
1 - 3 | 22 - 20 | View |
| Apr 13, 2024 |
Detroit Red Wings
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
5 - 4 | 32 - 36 | View |
| Jan 14, 2024 |
Detroit Red Wings
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
4 - 2 | 24 - 30 | View |