Away team
Toronto Maple Leafs
38.5%
Fair American
+160
Fair decimal
2.6
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Dallas Stars prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for December 9, 2026
NHL matchup
Toronto Maple Leafs at Dallas Stars
View the PlayerWON model prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for December 9, 2026.
December 9, 2026
· 6:30 PM CST
Model favourite
Dallas Stars
at 61.5%
Prediction
Model versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Dallas Stars
61.5%
Fair American
-160
Fair decimal
1.63
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
TOR
|
Metric |
DAL
|
|---|---|---|
| 78 | Points | 112 |
| 0.476 | Points % | 0.683 |
| 253 | Goals for | 279 |
| 299 | Goals against | 226 |
| -46 | Goal differential | 53 |
| L5 | Current streak | W5 |
Road versus home
|
TOR road
|
Metric |
DAL home
|
|---|---|---|
| 41 | Games | 41 |
| 14 | Wins | 26 |
| 34 | Points | 56 |
| -36 | Goal differential | 23 |
Last 10 games
|
TOR
|
Metric |
DAL
|
|---|---|---|
| 2-7-1 | Record | 7-2-1 |
| 5 | Points | 15 |
| 28 | Goals for | 34 |
| 47 | Goals against | 28 |
| -19 | Goal differential | 6 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
TOR
7 wins
10
games reviewed
DAL
3 wins
Total goals36 – 28
Goal differential
+8
/
-8
Goals per game3.6 / 2.8
Shots per game31.0 / 30.4
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2026 |
Dallas Stars
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
6 - 5 | 32 - 27 | View |
| Dec 21, 2025 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
Dallas Stars
|
1 - 5 | 28 - 22 | View |
| Jan 14, 2025 |
Dallas Stars
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
4 - 1 | 23 - 28 | View |
| Dec 18, 2024 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
Dallas Stars
|
5 - 3 | 19 - 39 | View |
| Feb 7, 2024 |
Dallas Stars
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
4 - 5 | 31 - 31 | View |
| Oct 26, 2023 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
Dallas Stars
|
4 - 1 | 24 - 32 | View |
| Dec 6, 2022 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
Dallas Stars
|
4 - 0 | 29 - 44 | View |
| Oct 20, 2022 |
Dallas Stars
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
2 - 3 | 28 - 43 | View |
| Apr 7, 2022 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
Dallas Stars
|
4 - 3 | 41 - 18 | View |
| Mar 15, 2022 |
Dallas Stars
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
0 - 4 | 35 - 40 | View |