Toronto Maple Leafs vs Buffalo Sabres prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 14, 2026
Get the playerWON NHL prediction for the Toronto Maple Leafs at Buffalo Sabres matchup on March 14, 2026. playerWON’s machine-learning model currently gives the Buffalo Sabres a 62.1% win probability.
🤖 Model favours Buffalo Sabres
(62.1%)
Compare market odds, fair odds, and value below.
March 14, 2026
Visitor Model vs Market
Toronto Maple Leafs
37.9%
Fair American: +164
Fair Decimal: 2.64
Calculate Value →
📊 Season Overview
|
TOR
|
Metric |
BUF
|
|---|---|---|
| 78 | Points | 109 |
| 0.476 | Points % | 0.665 |
| 253 | Goals For | 288 |
| 299 | Goals Against | 241 |
| -46 | Goal Differential | 47 |
| L5 | Current Streak | OT1 |
🚍 Road vs 🏠 Home
|
TOR (Road)
|
Metric |
BUF (Home)
|
|---|---|---|
| 41 | Games | 41 |
| 14 | Wins | 26 |
| 34 | Points | 57 |
| -36 | Goal Differential | 30 |
🔥 Last 10 Games
|
TOR
|
Metric |
BUF
|
|---|---|---|
| 2-7-1 | Record | 6-3-1 |
| 5 | Points | 13 |
| 28 | Goals For | 34 |
| 47 | Goals Against | 30 |
| -19 | Goal Differential | 4 |
🥅 Last 10 Head-to-Head Games
|
TOR
|
H2H Summary |
BUF
|
|---|---|---|
| 6-4 | Record | 4-6 |
| 38 | Total Goals | 37 |
| +1 | Goal Differential | -1 |
| 3.8 | Goals / Game | 3.7 |
| 28.6 | Shots / Game | 31.0 |
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2026 |
Buffalo Sabres
@
Toronto Maple Leafs
@
|
7 - 4 | 31 - 23 | View |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
Buffalo Sabres
@
Toronto Maple Leafs
@
|
3 - 4 | 26 - 23 | View |
| Oct 24, 2025 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
@
Buffalo Sabres
@
|
3 - 5 | 34 - 30 | View |
| Apr 15, 2025 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
@
Buffalo Sabres
@
|
4 - 0 | 32 - 35 | View |
| Dec 20, 2024 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
@
Buffalo Sabres
@
|
6 - 3 | 29 - 27 | View |
| Dec 15, 2024 |
Buffalo Sabres
@
Toronto Maple Leafs
@
|
3 - 5 | 27 - 41 | View |
| Mar 30, 2024 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
@
Buffalo Sabres
@
|
3 - 0 | 22 - 34 | View |
| Mar 6, 2024 |
Buffalo Sabres
@
Toronto Maple Leafs
@
|
1 - 2 | 25 - 27 | View |
| Dec 21, 2023 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
@
Buffalo Sabres
@
|
3 - 9 | 27 - 34 | View |
| Nov 4, 2023 |
Buffalo Sabres
@
Toronto Maple Leafs
@
|
6 - 4 | 41 - 28 | View |
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s machine-learning model, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.