Forward trio
46:09 together · 8 games
- Corsi for / against
- 42 / 54
- Fenwick for / against
- 35 / 39
- Corsi share
- 43.8%
- Fenwick share
- 47.3%
- xG for / against
- 1.72 / 3.88
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Boston Bruins prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 24, 2026
NHL matchup
Toronto Maple Leafs at Boston Bruins
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 24, 2026.
March 24, 2026
· 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game.
View final boxscore
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 24. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Toronto Maple Leafs
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Defense pair
74:08 together · 9 games
- Corsi for / against
- 72 / 103
- Fenwick for / against
- 53 / 76
- Corsi share
- 41.1%
- Fenwick share
- 41.1%
- xG for / against
- 3.09 / 5.43
Boston Bruins
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
99:05 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 80 / 101
- Fenwick for / against
- 60 / 78
- Corsi share
- 44.2%
- Fenwick share
- 43.5%
- xG for / against
- 3.99 / 4.73
Defense pair
122:06 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 111 / 116
- Fenwick for / against
- 73 / 90
- Corsi share
- 48.9%
- Fenwick share
- 44.8%
- xG for / against
- 5.12 / 5.25
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Joseph Woll
Toronto Maple Leafs · Last start: Mar 21
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 187
- Save %
- 90.4
- Goals allowed
- 18
- Close-range shots %
- 28.9
Jeremy Swayman
Boston Bruins · Last start: Mar 21
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 155
- Save %
- 92.3
- Goals allowed
- 12
- Close-range shots %
- 39.4
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 24, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Toronto Maple Leafs
- xG for / game
- 2.50
- xG against / game
- 4.26
- xG differential / game
- -1.76
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Boston Bruins
- xG for / game
- 3.28
- xG against / game
- 3.43
- xG differential / game
- -0.15
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 24, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Toronto Maple Leafs
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 46.6
- Corsi share (%)
- 38.8
- Fenwick share (%)
- 38.9
- Faceoff win %
- 52.0
- Penalties / game
- 5.4
Shots / game: 24.5 · Shooting: 10.6% · Avg distance: 33.5 ft
Boston Bruins
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 58.7
- Corsi share (%)
- 48.9
- Fenwick share (%)
- 48.1
- Faceoff win %
- 53.2
- Penalties / game
- 3.7
Shots / game: 28.3 · Shooting: 11.0% · Avg distance: 32.6 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
TOR
|
Metric |
BOS
|
|---|---|---|
| 16 | Points | 19 |
| 0.571 | Points % | 0.731 |
| 52 | Goals for | 49 |
| 46 | Goals against | 28 |
| 6 | Goal differential | 21 |
| L1 | Current streak | L1 |
Road versus home
|
TOR road
|
Metric |
BOS home
|
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Games | 6 |
| 3 | Wins | 5 |
| 7 | Points | 10 |
| 7 | Goal differential | 17 |
Last 10 games
|
TOR
|
Metric |
BOS
|
|---|---|---|
| 5-3-2 | Record | 7-2-1 |
| 12 | Points | 15 |
| 41 | Goals for | 41 |
| 35 | Goals against | 21 |
| 6 | Goal differential | 20 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
TOR
3 wins
10
games reviewed
BOS
7 wins
Total goals31 – 37
Goal differential
-6
/
+6
Goals per game3.1 / 3.7
Shots per game31.1 / 33.0
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2025 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
Boston Bruins
|
3 - 5 | 33 - 32 | View |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
Boston Bruins
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
5 - 3 | 39 - 33 | View |
| Feb 25, 2025 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
Boston Bruins
|
5 - 4 | 29 - 36 | View |
| Jan 4, 2025 |
Boston Bruins
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
4 - 6 | 31 - 29 | View |
| Nov 5, 2024 |
Boston Bruins
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
0 - 4 | 29 - 27 | View |
| Oct 26, 2024 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
Boston Bruins
|
3 - 4 | 23 - 34 | View |
| Mar 7, 2024 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
Boston Bruins
|
1 - 4 | 29 - 25 | View |
| Mar 4, 2024 |
Boston Bruins
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
4 - 1 | 27 - 33 | View |
| Dec 2, 2023 |
Boston Bruins
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
4 - 3 | 37 - 40 | View |
| Nov 2, 2023 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
Boston Bruins
|
2 - 3 | 35 - 40 | View |