Away team
Tampa Bay Lightning
54.4%
Fair American
-119
Fair decimal
1.84
Tampa Bay Lightning vs New York Islanders prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for October 10, 2026
NHL matchup
Tampa Bay Lightning at New York Islanders
View the PlayerWON model prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for October 10, 2026.
October 10, 2026
· 6:30 PM CST
Model favourite
Tampa Bay Lightning
at 54.4%
Prediction
Model versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
New York Islanders
45.6%
Fair American
+119
Fair decimal
2.19
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
TBL
|
Metric |
NYI
|
|---|---|---|
| 106 | Points | 91 |
| 0.646 | Points % | 0.555 |
| 290 | Goals for | 233 |
| 231 | Goals against | 241 |
| 59 | Goal differential | -8 |
| L1 | Current streak | L3 |
Road versus home
|
TBL road
|
Metric |
NYI home
|
|---|---|---|
| 41 | Games | 41 |
| 24 | Wins | 22 |
| 53 | Points | 46 |
| 37 | Goal differential | -2 |
Last 10 games
|
TBL
|
Metric |
NYI
|
|---|---|---|
| 5-5-0 | Record | 3-7-0 |
| 10 | Points | 6 |
| 26 | Goals for | 24 |
| 30 | Goals against | 35 |
| -4 | Goal differential | -11 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
TBL
4 wins
10
games reviewed
NYI
6 wins
Total goals25 – 29
Goal differential
-4
/
+4
Goals per game2.5 / 2.9
Shots per game28.8 / 29.1
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
New York Islanders
|
2 - 3 | 34 - 17 | View |
| Dec 6, 2025 |
New York Islanders
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
2 - 0 | 19 - 32 | View |
| Dec 2, 2025 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
New York Islanders
|
1 - 2 | 31 - 24 | View |
| Apr 1, 2025 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
New York Islanders
|
4 - 1 | 24 - 29 | View |
| Mar 29, 2025 |
New York Islanders
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
3 - 5 | 38 - 24 | View |
| Feb 1, 2025 |
New York Islanders
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
3 - 2 | 36 - 31 | View |
| Mar 30, 2024 |
New York Islanders
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
1 - 4 | 28 - 40 | View |
| Feb 24, 2024 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
New York Islanders
|
4 - 2 | 21 - 34 | View |
| Feb 8, 2024 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
New York Islanders
|
2 - 6 | 20 - 24 | View |
| Apr 6, 2023 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
New York Islanders
|
1 - 6 | 31 - 42 | View |