Away team
St. Louis Blues
38.0%
Fair American
+163
Fair decimal
2.63
St. Louis Blues vs Vegas Golden Knights prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for April 6, 2027
NHL matchup
St. Louis Blues at Vegas Golden Knights
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for April 6, 2027.
April 6, 2027
· 9:30 PM CST
Model V2 pick:
Vegas Golden Knights at 62.0%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Vegas Golden Knights
62.0%
Fair American
-163
Fair decimal
1.61
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Apr 6, 2027.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 3
- Record
- 2-1
- Net units
- 1.60
- ROI
- 53.3%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 3
- Record
- 2-1
- Net units
- 1.60
- ROI
- 53.3%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 4
- Record
- 1-3
- Net units
- -2.20
- ROI
- -55.0%
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 8
- Record
- 7-1
- Net units
- 2.89
- ROI
- 36.1%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 1
- Record
- 1-0
- Net units
- 0.61
- ROI
- 61.3%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 9
- Record
- 8-1
- Net units
- 3.25
- ROI
- 36.2%
This game and later dates are excluded.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
St. Louis Blues
Expected starter unavailable.
Vegas Golden Knights
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Jordan Binnington
St. Louis Blues · Last start: Oct 17
3 / 3 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 83
- Save %
- 83.1
- Goals allowed
- 14
- Close-range shots %
- 34.9
Adin Hill
Vegas Golden Knights · Last start: Oct 17
4 / 4 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 96
- Save %
- 90.6
- Goals allowed
- 9
- Close-range shots %
- 34.4
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Apr 6, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
St. Louis Blues
- xG for / game
- 2.96
- xG against / game
- 2.78
- xG differential / game
- 0.17
8 / 8 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Vegas Golden Knights
- xG for / game
- 3.51
- xG against / game
- 2.61
- xG differential / game
- 0.90
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent usage
Combinations to know
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Apr 6. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
St. Louis Blues
8 / 8 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
79:40 together · 8 games
- Attempts for / against
- 81 / 67
- xG for / against
- 3.73 / 3.33
Defense pair
84:30 together · 8 games
- Attempts for / against
- 83 / 55
- xG for / against
- 4.86 / 3.68
Vegas Golden Knights
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
103:26 together · 10 games
- Attempts for / against
- 113 / 87
- xG for / against
- 6.02 / 3.18
Defense pair
146:54 together · 10 games
- Attempts for / against
- 165 / 124
- xG for / against
- 8.45 / 5.21
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Apr 6, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
St. Louis Blues
8 / 8 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 55.1
- Attempt share
- 51.1
- Faceoff win %
- 48.1
- Penalties / game
- 3.88
Shots / game: 26.0 · Shooting: 13.0% · Avg distance: 32.4 ft
Vegas Golden Knights
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 60.6
- Attempt share
- 53.5
- Faceoff win %
- 52.1
- Penalties / game
- 3.5
Shots / game: 29.9 · Shooting: 13.7% · Avg distance: 31.9 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
STL
|
Metric |
VGK
|
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Points | 16 |
| 0.438 | Points % | 0.800 |
| 27 | Goals for | 42 |
| 28 | Goals against | 24 |
| -1 | Goal differential | 18 |
| L2 | Current streak | W3 |
Road versus home
|
STL road
|
Metric |
VGK home
|
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Games | 6 |
| 2 | Wins | 5 |
| 4 | Points | 10 |
| -2 | Goal differential | 12 |
Last 10 games
|
STL
|
Metric |
VGK
|
|---|---|---|
| 3-4-1 | Record | 8-2-0 |
| 7 | Points | 16 |
| 27 | Goals for | 42 |
| 28 | Goals against | 24 |
| -1 | Goal differential | 18 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
STL
3 wins
10
games reviewed
VGK
7 wins
Total goals26 – 37
Goal differential
-11
/
+11
Goals per game2.6 / 3.7
Shots per game24.9 / 32.2
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 |
St. Louis Blues
at
Vegas Golden Knights
|
2 - 4 | 19 - 25 | View |
| Jan 2, 2026 |
Vegas Golden Knights
at
St. Louis Blues
|
3 - 4 | 24 - 19 | View |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
Vegas Golden Knights
at
St. Louis Blues
|
4 - 1 | 34 - 23 | View |
| Jan 23, 2025 |
Vegas Golden Knights
at
St. Louis Blues
|
4 - 2 | 31 - 17 | View |
| Jan 20, 2025 |
St. Louis Blues
at
Vegas Golden Knights
|
5 - 4 | 28 - 32 | View |
| Oct 11, 2024 |
St. Louis Blues
at
Vegas Golden Knights
|
3 - 4 | 22 - 28 | View |
| Mar 25, 2024 |
Vegas Golden Knights
at
St. Louis Blues
|
2 - 1 | 34 - 32 | View |
| Dec 6, 2023 |
Vegas Golden Knights
at
St. Louis Blues
|
6 - 3 | 49 - 29 | View |
| Dec 4, 2023 |
St. Louis Blues
at
Vegas Golden Knights
|
2 - 1 | 27 - 34 | View |
| Mar 12, 2023 |
Vegas Golden Knights
at
St. Louis Blues
|
5 - 3 | 31 - 33 | View |