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St. Louis Blues vs Seattle Kraken prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 15, 2027

NHL matchup

St. Louis Blues at Seattle Kraken

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 15, 2027.

March 15, 2027 · 8:40 PM CST
Model V2 pick: Seattle Kraken at 50.2%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

St. Louis Blues logo
Away team

St. Louis Blues

49.8%
Fair American +101
Fair decimal 2.01
Calculate value
Seattle Kraken logo
Home team

Seattle Kraken

50.2%
Fair American -101
Fair decimal 1.99
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Mar 15, 2027.

All Model Picks

Bets
5
Record
4-1
Net units
2.88
ROI
57.7%

Value Picks

Bets
10
Record
5-5
Net units
1.57
ROI
15.7%

Market Favourite

Bets
2
Record
2-0
Net units
1.59
ROI
79.6%

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 15. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

St. Louis Blues

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

113:14 together · 10 games

xG share49.2%
Corsi for / against
104 / 102
Fenwick for / against
75 / 86
Corsi share
50.5%
Fenwick share
46.6%
xG for / against
5.79 / 5.98
All observed combinations

Seattle Kraken

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

81:54 together · 10 games

xG share56.9%
Corsi for / against
86 / 90
Fenwick for / against
62 / 61
Corsi share
48.9%
Fenwick share
50.4%
xG for / against
4.48 / 3.40
Defense pair

152:33 together · 10 games

xG share37.4%
Corsi for / against
117 / 221
Fenwick for / against
81 / 162
Corsi share
34.6%
Fenwick share
33.3%
xG for / against
5.10 / 8.52
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Joel Hofer

St. Louis Blues · Last start: Oct 24

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
157
Save %
91.1
Goals allowed
14
Close-range shots %
34.4

Joey Daccord

Seattle Kraken · Last start: Oct 24

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
162
Save %
87.0
Goals allowed
21
Close-range shots %
34.0
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 15, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

St. Louis Blues

xG for / game
2.90
xG against / game
2.82
xG differential / game
0.08

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Seattle Kraken

xG for / game
2.74
xG against / game
3.63
xG differential / game
-0.89

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 15, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

St. Louis Blues

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
54.5
Corsi share (%)
49.7
Fenwick share (%)
47.5
Faceoff win %
49.9
Penalties / game
2.9

Shots / game: 26.7 · Shooting: 11.6% · Avg distance: 31.9 ft

Seattle Kraken

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
51.3
Corsi share (%)
42.3
Fenwick share (%)
43.4
Faceoff win %
52.5
Penalties / game
3.6

Shots / game: 26.2 · Shooting: 13.7% · Avg distance: 34.6 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
St. Louis Blues STL
Metric
Seattle Kraken SEA
11Points15
0.500Points %0.625
35Goals for45
35Goals against42
0Goal differential3
L1Current streakL1
Road versus home
St. Louis Blues STL road
Metric
Seattle Kraken SEA home
6Games5
2Wins3
4Points6
-2Goal differential0
Last 10 games
St. Louis Blues STL
Metric
Seattle Kraken SEA
4-5-1Record6-3-1
9Points13
31Goals for38
35Goals against38
-4Goal differential0
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

St. Louis Blues STL 7 wins
10 games reviewed
Seattle Kraken SEA 3 wins
Total goals37 – 25
Goal differential +12 / -12
Goals per game3.7 / 2.5
Shots per game24.9 / 28.0
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Mar 4, 2026
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken
3 - 2 27 - 36 View
Feb 26, 2026
Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
1 - 5 24 - 32 View
Nov 8, 2025
Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
4 - 3 30 - 19 View
Apr 12, 2025
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken
3 - 4 23 - 18 View
Feb 25, 2025
Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
2 - 7 27 - 27 View
Oct 8, 2024
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken
3 - 2 25 - 32 View
Apr 14, 2024
Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
1 - 4 20 - 28 View
Jan 26, 2024
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken
4 - 3 18 - 36 View
Oct 14, 2023
Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
1 - 2 31 - 25 View
Feb 28, 2023
Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
5 - 3 26 - 25 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.