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St. Louis Blues vs Seattle Kraken prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 4, 2026

NHL matchup

St. Louis Blues at Seattle Kraken

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 4, 2026.

March 4, 2026 · 9:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 4. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

St. Louis Blues

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

127:17 together · 10 games

xG share38.4%
Corsi for / against
112 / 104
Fenwick for / against
66 / 79
Corsi share
51.9%
Fenwick share
45.5%
xG for / against
3.33 / 5.35
All observed combinations

Seattle Kraken

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

107:04 together · 10 games

xG share49.6%
Corsi for / against
86 / 104
Fenwick for / against
62 / 75
Corsi share
45.3%
Fenwick share
45.3%
xG for / against
4.16 / 4.23
Defense pair

142:08 together · 10 games

xG share48.8%
Corsi for / against
118 / 142
Fenwick for / against
91 / 103
Corsi share
45.4%
Fenwick share
46.9%
xG for / against
5.81 / 6.10
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Joel Hofer

St. Louis Blues · Last start: Mar 1

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
123
Save %
87.0
Goals allowed
16
Close-range shots %
34.1

Joey Daccord

Seattle Kraken · Last start: Mar 2

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
152
Save %
93.4
Goals allowed
10
Close-range shots %
25.0
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 4, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

St. Louis Blues

xG for / game
2.69
xG against / game
3.00
xG differential / game
-0.31

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Seattle Kraken

xG for / game
2.50
xG against / game
3.05
xG differential / game
-0.54

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 4, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

St. Louis Blues

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
53.1
Corsi share (%)
49.3
Fenwick share (%)
48.8
Faceoff win %
47.3
Penalties / game
3.8

Shots / game: 27.5 · Shooting: 12.7% · Avg distance: 35.4 ft

Seattle Kraken

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
47.7
Corsi share (%)
42.9
Fenwick share (%)
43.6
Faceoff win %
52.3
Penalties / game
3.6

Shots / game: 22.9 · Shooting: 14.0% · Avg distance: 33.7 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
St. Louis Blues STL
Metric
Seattle Kraken SEA
11Points15
0.500Points %0.625
35Goals for45
35Goals against42
0Goal differential3
L1Current streakL1
Road versus home
St. Louis Blues STL road
Metric
Seattle Kraken SEA home
6Games5
2Wins3
4Points6
-2Goal differential0
Last 10 games
St. Louis Blues STL
Metric
Seattle Kraken SEA
4-5-1Record6-3-1
9Points13
31Goals for38
35Goals against38
-4Goal differential0
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

St. Louis Blues STL 6 wins
10 games reviewed
Seattle Kraken SEA 4 wins
Total goals36 – 28
Goal differential +8 / -8
Goals per game3.6 / 2.8
Shots per game24.6 / 27.7
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Feb 26, 2026
Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
1 - 5 24 - 32 View
Nov 8, 2025
Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
4 - 3 30 - 19 View
Apr 12, 2025
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken
3 - 4 23 - 18 View
Feb 25, 2025
Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
2 - 7 27 - 27 View
Oct 8, 2024
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken
3 - 2 25 - 32 View
Apr 14, 2024
Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
1 - 4 20 - 28 View
Jan 26, 2024
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken
4 - 3 18 - 36 View
Oct 14, 2023
Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
1 - 2 31 - 25 View
Feb 28, 2023
Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
5 - 3 26 - 25 View
Dec 20, 2022
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken
2 - 5 24 - 33 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.