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St. Louis Blues vs San Jose Sharks prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 6, 2026

NHL matchup

St. Louis Blues at San Jose Sharks

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 6, 2026.

March 6, 2026 · 9:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 6. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

St. Louis Blues

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

133:45 together · 10 games

xG share41.4%
Corsi for / against
125 / 114
Fenwick for / against
77 / 86
Corsi share
52.3%
Fenwick share
47.2%
xG for / against
3.97 / 5.63
All observed combinations

San Jose Sharks

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

60:17 together · 9 games

xG share41.1%
Corsi for / against
57 / 63
Fenwick for / against
46 / 49
Corsi share
47.5%
Fenwick share
48.4%
xG for / against
2.96 / 4.25
Defense pair

114:56 together · 9 games

xG share40.6%
Corsi for / against
117 / 116
Fenwick for / against
85 / 92
Corsi share
50.2%
Fenwick share
48.0%
xG for / against
5.24 / 7.67
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Joel Hofer

St. Louis Blues · Last start: Mar 4

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
131
Save %
89.3
Goals allowed
14
Close-range shots %
30.5

Yaroslav Askarov

San Jose Sharks · Last start: Mar 3

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
139
Save %
86.3
Goals allowed
19
Close-range shots %
29.5
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 6, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

St. Louis Blues

xG for / game
2.76
xG against / game
3.20
xG differential / game
-0.45

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

San Jose Sharks

xG for / game
2.99
xG against / game
3.32
xG differential / game
-0.32

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 6, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

St. Louis Blues

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
53.6
Corsi share (%)
48.4
Fenwick share (%)
47.8
Faceoff win %
48.4
Penalties / game
3.7

Shots / game: 28.0 · Shooting: 12.9% · Avg distance: 35.5 ft

San Jose Sharks

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
56.2
Corsi share (%)
49.1
Fenwick share (%)
48.5
Faceoff win %
44.7
Penalties / game
4.2

Shots / game: 29.2 · Shooting: 11.3% · Avg distance: 32.7 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
St. Louis Blues STL
Metric
San Jose Sharks SJS
11Points13
0.458Points %0.500
35Goals for37
37Goals against45
-2Goal differential-8
L2Current streakL2
Road versus home
St. Louis Blues STL road
Metric
San Jose Sharks SJS home
6Games5
2Wins2
4Points4
-2Goal differential-5
Last 10 games
St. Louis Blues STL
Metric
San Jose Sharks SJS
4-5-1Record4-5-1
9Points9
30Goals for28
31Goals against33
-1Goal differential-5
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

St. Louis Blues STL 6 wins
10 games reviewed
San Jose Sharks SJS 4 wins
Total goals32 – 31
Goal differential +1 / -1
Goals per game3.2 / 3.1
Shots per game32.1 / 27.4
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Dec 12, 2024
San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
4 - 3 31 - 20 View
Nov 21, 2024
San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
2 - 3 24 - 31 View
Oct 10, 2024
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks
5 - 4 40 - 29 View
Apr 6, 2024
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks
2 - 3 36 - 25 View
Mar 30, 2024
San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
4 - 0 20 - 35 View
Nov 16, 2023
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks
1 - 5 45 - 35 View
Mar 9, 2023
San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
2 - 4 34 - 30 View
Mar 2, 2023
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks
6 - 3 23 - 25 View
Nov 10, 2022
San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
3 - 5 30 - 33 View
Apr 21, 2022
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks
3 - 1 28 - 21 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.