Away team
St. Louis Blues
53.2%
Fair American
-114
Fair decimal
1.88
St. Louis Blues vs Philadelphia Flyers prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 7, 2027
NHL matchup
St. Louis Blues at Philadelphia Flyers
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 7, 2027.
March 7, 2027
· 2:30 PM CST
Model V2 pick:
St. Louis Blues at 53.2%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Philadelphia Flyers
46.8%
Fair American
+114
Fair decimal
2.14
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Mar 7, 2027.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 3
- Record
- 2-1
- Net units
- 1.60
- ROI
- 53.3%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 5
- Record
- 3-2
- Net units
- 1.70
- ROI
- 34.0%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 5
- Record
- 2-3
- Net units
- -1.49
- ROI
- -29.7%
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 0
- Record
- 0-0
- Net units
- 0.00
- ROI
- —
Value Picks
- Bets
- 4
- Record
- 2-2
- Net units
- 1.36
- ROI
- 34.0%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 3
- Record
- 0-3
- Net units
- -3.00
- ROI
- -100.0%
This game and later dates are excluded.
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 7. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
St. Louis Blues
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
108:27 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 98 / 106
- Fenwick for / against
- 71 / 81
- Corsi share
- 48.0%
- Fenwick share
- 46.7%
- xG for / against
- 4.57 / 5.02
Defense pair
113:14 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 104 / 102
- Fenwick for / against
- 75 / 86
- Corsi share
- 50.5%
- Fenwick share
- 46.6%
- xG for / against
- 5.79 / 5.98
Philadelphia Flyers
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
49:44 together · 7 games
- Corsi for / against
- 40 / 38
- Fenwick for / against
- 22 / 25
- Corsi share
- 51.3%
- Fenwick share
- 46.8%
- xG for / against
- 2.09 / 1.31
Defense pair
106:21 together · 7 games
- Corsi for / against
- 96 / 92
- Fenwick for / against
- 69 / 59
- Corsi share
- 51.1%
- Fenwick share
- 53.9%
- xG for / against
- 4.34 / 3.84
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
St. Louis Blues
Expected starter unavailable.
Philadelphia Flyers
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Joel Hofer
St. Louis Blues · Last start: Oct 24
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 157
- Save %
- 91.1
- Goals allowed
- 14
- Close-range shots %
- 34.4
Joseph Woll
Philadelphia Flyers · Last start: Oct 24
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 134
- Save %
- 88.8
- Goals allowed
- 15
- Close-range shots %
- 32.1
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 7, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
St. Louis Blues
- xG for / game
- 2.90
- xG against / game
- 2.82
- xG differential / game
- 0.08
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Philadelphia Flyers
- xG for / game
- 2.65
- xG against / game
- 3.44
- xG differential / game
- -0.79
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 7, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
St. Louis Blues
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 54.5
- Corsi share (%)
- 49.7
- Fenwick share (%)
- 47.5
- Faceoff win %
- 49.9
- Penalties / game
- 2.9
Shots / game: 26.7 · Shooting: 11.6% · Avg distance: 31.9 ft
Philadelphia Flyers
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 50.2
- Corsi share (%)
- 45.7
- Fenwick share (%)
- 44.6
- Faceoff win %
- 49.8
- Penalties / game
- 4.2
Shots / game: 23.3 · Shooting: 8.6% · Avg distance: 31.2 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
STL
|
Metric |
PHI
|
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Points | 9 |
| 0.500 | Points % | 0.346 |
| 35 | Goals for | 24 |
| 35 | Goals against | 42 |
| 0 | Goal differential | -18 |
| L1 | Current streak | L1 |
Road versus home
|
STL road
|
Metric |
PHI home
|
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Games | 7 |
| 2 | Wins | 2 |
| 4 | Points | 6 |
| -2 | Goal differential | -10 |
Last 10 games
|
STL
|
Metric |
PHI
|
|---|---|---|
| 4-5-1 | Record | 3-6-1 |
| 9 | Points | 7 |
| 31 | Goals for | 20 |
| 35 | Goals against | 29 |
| -4 | Goal differential | -9 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
STL
3 wins
10
games reviewed
PHI
7 wins
Total goals25 – 32
Goal differential
-7
/
+7
Goals per game2.5 / 3.2
Shots per game26.3 / 31.7
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2025 |
St. Louis Blues
at
Philadelphia Flyers
|
2 - 3 | 29 - 28 | View |
| Nov 14, 2025 |
Philadelphia Flyers
at
St. Louis Blues
|
6 - 5 | 31 - 17 | View |
| Nov 30, 2024 |
Philadelphia Flyers
at
St. Louis Blues
|
3 - 2 | 31 - 27 | View |
| Oct 31, 2024 |
St. Louis Blues
at
Philadelphia Flyers
|
1 - 2 | 21 - 21 | View |
| Mar 4, 2024 |
St. Louis Blues
at
Philadelphia Flyers
|
2 - 1 | 25 - 42 | View |
| Jan 15, 2024 |
Philadelphia Flyers
at
St. Louis Blues
|
4 - 2 | 42 - 30 | View |
| Apr 4, 2023 |
Philadelphia Flyers
at
St. Louis Blues
|
2 - 4 | 34 - 32 | View |
| Nov 8, 2022 |
St. Louis Blues
at
Philadelphia Flyers
|
1 - 5 | 28 - 35 | View |
| Mar 24, 2022 |
Philadelphia Flyers
at
St. Louis Blues
|
5 - 2 | 27 - 28 | View |
| Feb 22, 2022 |
St. Louis Blues
at
Philadelphia Flyers
|
4 - 1 | 26 - 26 | View |