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St. Louis Blues vs New York Rangers prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for November 3, 2026

NHL matchup

St. Louis Blues at New York Rangers

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for November 3, 2026.

November 3, 2026 · 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 pick: New York Rangers at 57.2%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

St. Louis Blues logo
Away team

St. Louis Blues

42.8%
Fair American +134
Fair decimal 2.34
Calculate value
New York Rangers logo
Home team

New York Rangers

57.2%
Fair American -134
Fair decimal 1.75
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Nov 3, 2026.

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 3. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

St. Louis Blues

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

113:14 together · 10 games

xG share49.2%
Corsi for / against
104 / 102
Fenwick for / against
75 / 86
Corsi share
50.5%
Fenwick share
46.6%
xG for / against
5.79 / 5.98
All observed combinations

New York Rangers

This selection is unavailable until complete validated shift records cover every selected game.

All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Joel Hofer

St. Louis Blues · Last start: Oct 24

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
157
Save %
91.1
Goals allowed
14
Close-range shots %
34.4

Dylan Garand

New York Rangers · Last start: Oct 24

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
130
Save %
86.9
Goals allowed
17
Close-range shots %
30.8
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 3, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

St. Louis Blues

xG for / game
2.90
xG against / game
2.82
xG differential / game
0.08

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

New York Rangers

xG for / game
3.31
xG against / game
2.90
xG differential / game
0.41

9 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 3, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

St. Louis Blues

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
54.5
Corsi share (%)
49.7
Fenwick share (%)
47.5
Faceoff win %
49.9
Penalties / game
2.9

Shots / game: 26.7 · Shooting: 11.6% · Avg distance: 31.9 ft

New York Rangers

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
54.6
Corsi share (%)
48.5
Fenwick share (%)
47.8
Faceoff win %
53.7
Penalties / game
3.9

Shots / game: 24.9 · Shooting: 13.7% · Avg distance: 29.6 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
St. Louis Blues STL
Metric
New York Rangers NYR
11Points15
0.500Points %0.577
35Goals for41
35Goals against36
0Goal differential5
L1Current streakL2
Road versus home
St. Louis Blues STL road
Metric
New York Rangers NYR home
6Games6
2Wins6
4Points12
-2Goal differential19
Last 10 games
St. Louis Blues STL
Metric
New York Rangers NYR
4-5-1Record5-4-1
9Points11
31Goals for34
35Goals against32
-4Goal differential2
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

St. Louis Blues STL 5 wins
10 games reviewed
New York Rangers NYR 5 wins
Total goals32 – 30
Goal differential +2 / -2
Goals per game3.2 / 3.0
Shots per game28.0 / 29.7
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Dec 18, 2025
New York Rangers New York Rangers at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
2 - 1 31 - 27 View
Nov 24, 2025
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at New York Rangers New York Rangers
2 - 3 21 - 21 View
Dec 15, 2024
New York Rangers New York Rangers at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
2 - 3 28 - 24 View
Nov 25, 2024
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at New York Rangers New York Rangers
5 - 2 44 - 29 View
Mar 9, 2024
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at New York Rangers New York Rangers
0 - 4 26 - 39 View
Jan 11, 2024
New York Rangers New York Rangers at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
2 - 5 43 - 20 View
Apr 6, 2023
New York Rangers New York Rangers at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
2 - 3 24 - 22 View
Dec 5, 2022
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at New York Rangers New York Rangers
4 - 6 29 - 24 View
Mar 10, 2022
New York Rangers New York Rangers at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
2 - 6 29 - 35 View
Mar 2, 2022
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at New York Rangers New York Rangers
3 - 5 32 - 29 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.