Away team
St. Louis Blues
39.7%
Fair American
+152
Fair decimal
2.52
St. Louis Blues vs Montréal Canadiens prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 21, 2027
NHL matchup
St. Louis Blues at Montréal Canadiens
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 21, 2027.
January 21, 2027
· 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 pick:
Montréal Canadiens at 60.3%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Montréal Canadiens
60.3%
Fair American
-152
Fair decimal
1.66
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Jan 21, 2027.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 3
- Record
- 2-1
- Net units
- 1.60
- ROI
- 53.3%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 5
- Record
- 3-2
- Net units
- 1.70
- ROI
- 34.0%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 5
- Record
- 2-3
- Net units
- -1.49
- ROI
- -29.7%
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 7
- Record
- 6-1
- Net units
- 3.39
- ROI
- 48.4%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 3
- Record
- 2-1
- Net units
- 0.83
- ROI
- 27.6%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 9
- Record
- 6-3
- Net units
- 1.39
- ROI
- 15.4%
This game and later dates are excluded.
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 21. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
St. Louis Blues
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
108:27 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 98 / 106
- Fenwick for / against
- 71 / 81
- Corsi share
- 48.0%
- Fenwick share
- 46.7%
- xG for / against
- 4.57 / 5.02
Defense pair
113:14 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 104 / 102
- Fenwick for / against
- 75 / 86
- Corsi share
- 50.5%
- Fenwick share
- 46.6%
- xG for / against
- 5.79 / 5.98
Montréal Canadiens
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
82:28 together · 9 games
- Corsi for / against
- 99 / 45
- Fenwick for / against
- 71 / 35
- Corsi share
- 68.8%
- Fenwick share
- 67.0%
- xG for / against
- 5.26 / 1.88
Defense pair
108:21 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 165 / 82
- Fenwick for / against
- 127 / 61
- Corsi share
- 66.8%
- Fenwick share
- 67.6%
- xG for / against
- 7.88 / 4.78
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
St. Louis Blues
Expected starter unavailable.
Montréal Canadiens
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Joel Hofer
St. Louis Blues · Last start: Oct 24
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 157
- Save %
- 91.1
- Goals allowed
- 14
- Close-range shots %
- 34.4
Jacob Fowler
Montréal Canadiens · Last start: Oct 25
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 127
- Save %
- 93.7
- Goals allowed
- 8
- Close-range shots %
- 27.6
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 21, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
St. Louis Blues
- xG for / game
- 2.90
- xG against / game
- 2.82
- xG differential / game
- 0.08
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Montréal Canadiens
- xG for / game
- 3.47
- xG against / game
- 3.11
- xG differential / game
- 0.36
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 21, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
St. Louis Blues
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 54.5
- Corsi share (%)
- 49.7
- Fenwick share (%)
- 47.5
- Faceoff win %
- 49.9
- Penalties / game
- 2.9
Shots / game: 26.7 · Shooting: 11.6% · Avg distance: 31.9 ft
Montréal Canadiens
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 62.6
- Corsi share (%)
- 54.2
- Fenwick share (%)
- 54.5
- Faceoff win %
- 52.8
- Penalties / game
- 5.5
Shots / game: 29.2 · Shooting: 10.6% · Avg distance: 33.2 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
STL
|
Metric |
MTL
|
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Points | 14 |
| 0.500 | Points % | 0.636 |
| 35 | Goals for | 36 |
| 35 | Goals against | 36 |
| 0 | Goal differential | 0 |
| L1 | Current streak | W2 |
Road versus home
|
STL road
|
Metric |
MTL home
|
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Games | 6 |
| 2 | Wins | 3 |
| 4 | Points | 7 |
| -2 | Goal differential | -3 |
Last 10 games
|
STL
|
Metric |
MTL
|
|---|---|---|
| 4-5-1 | Record | 5-3-2 |
| 9 | Points | 12 |
| 31 | Goals for | 33 |
| 35 | Goals against | 34 |
| -4 | Goal differential | -1 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
STL
6 wins
10
games reviewed
MTL
4 wins
Total goals41 – 30
Goal differential
+11
/
-11
Goals per game4.1 / 3.0
Shots per game29.2 / 27.2
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 |
Montréal Canadiens
at
St. Louis Blues
|
0 - 2 | 25 - 19 | View |
| Dec 7, 2025 |
St. Louis Blues
at
Montréal Canadiens
|
4 - 3 | 18 - 26 | View |
| Mar 25, 2025 |
Montréal Canadiens
at
St. Louis Blues
|
1 - 6 | 25 - 37 | View |
| Oct 26, 2024 |
St. Louis Blues
at
Montréal Canadiens
|
2 - 5 | 31 - 26 | View |
| Feb 11, 2024 |
St. Louis Blues
at
Montréal Canadiens
|
7 - 2 | 36 - 32 | View |
| Nov 4, 2023 |
Montréal Canadiens
at
St. Louis Blues
|
3 - 6 | 33 - 35 | View |
| Jan 7, 2023 |
St. Louis Blues
at
Montréal Canadiens
|
4 - 5 | 22 - 27 | View |
| Oct 29, 2022 |
Montréal Canadiens
at
St. Louis Blues
|
7 - 4 | 25 - 30 | View |
| Feb 17, 2022 |
St. Louis Blues
at
Montréal Canadiens
|
2 - 3 | 27 - 30 | View |
| Dec 11, 2021 |
Montréal Canadiens
at
St. Louis Blues
|
1 - 4 | 23 - 37 | View |