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St. Louis Blues vs Minnesota Wild prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for October 15, 2026

NHL matchup

St. Louis Blues at Minnesota Wild

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for October 15, 2026.

October 15, 2026 · 7:00 PM CST
Away

St. Louis Blues

5-5-1

4
Final
Home

Minnesota Wild

8-3-2

5 Model pick
Model V2 pick: Minnesota Wild at 58.0% View final boxscore
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

St. Louis Blues logo
Away team

St. Louis Blues

42.0%
Fair American +138
Fair decimal 2.38
Best market +122 · BetOnline.ag
Market implied 45.0%
Edge -3.0%
Expected value -6.8%
Calculate value
Minnesota Wild logo
Home team

Minnesota Wild

58.0%
Fair American -138
Fair decimal 1.72
Best market -138 · BetOnline.ag
Market implied 58.0%
Edge 0.0%
Expected value 0.0%
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Oct 15, 2026.

Minnesota Wild

All Model Picks

Bets
3
Record
3-0
Net units
2.15
ROI
71.8%

Value Picks

Bets
3
Record
2-1
Net units
0.64
ROI
21.3%

Market Favourite

Bets
4
Record
3-1
Net units
1.15
ROI
28.8%
Full team betting results

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 15. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

St. Louis Blues

6 / 6 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

68:18 together · 6 games

xG share67.1%
Corsi for / against
73 / 42
Fenwick for / against
52 / 35
Corsi share
63.5%
Fenwick share
59.8%
xG for / against
4.62 / 2.26
All observed combinations

Minnesota Wild

7 / 7 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

93:02 together · 6 games

xG share61.6%
Corsi for / against
108 / 79
Fenwick for / against
81 / 60
Corsi share
57.8%
Fenwick share
57.4%
xG for / against
5.06 / 3.16
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

St. Louis Blues

Joel Hofer 65.2%
Other eligible goalies

Why Joel Hofer?

Top five influences

Raises the scoreLowers the score
Goalie team start share
+0.746
Started last game
-0.326
Won previous appearance
+0.277
Prev save pct
-0.107
Goalie season starts before
-0.097
About these predictions

Values are SHAP contributions in log-odds. Bar lengths show relative strength within this goalie’s top five factors.

SHAP shows the strongest influences on this goalie's raw starter score compared with the model's baseline. These are not percentage-point changes to the displayed share or proof of causation. Eligibility exclusions and other goalies also affect the displayed share.

Updated Oct 15, 5:02 AM Winnipeg time

Minnesota Wild

Jesper Wallstedt 95.7%
Other eligible goalies

Why Jesper Wallstedt?

Top five influences

Raises the scoreLowers the score
Goalie team start share
+1.345
Appearances last 5 goalie rows
+0.458
Days since last start
+0.437
Goalie win pct before
+0.357
Consecutive starts
+0.333
About these predictions

Values are SHAP contributions in log-odds. Bar lengths show relative strength within this goalie’s top five factors.

SHAP shows the strongest influences on this goalie's raw starter score compared with the model's baseline. These are not percentage-point changes to the displayed share or proof of causation. Eligibility exclusions and other goalies also affect the displayed share.

Updated Oct 15, 5:02 AM Winnipeg time

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Joel Hofer

St. Louis Blues · Last start: Oct 13

4 / 4 appearances covered

Shots faced
89
Save %
92.1
Goals allowed
7
Close-range shots %
31.5

Calvin Pickard

Minnesota Wild · Last start: Oct 13

1 / 1 appearances covered

Shots faced
25
Save %
80.0
Goals allowed
5
Close-range shots %
28.0
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 15, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

St. Louis Blues

xG for / game
3.01
xG against / game
2.46
xG differential / game
0.55

6 / 6 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Minnesota Wild

xG for / game
2.96
xG against / game
2.98
xG differential / game
-0.02

7 / 7 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 15, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

St. Louis Blues

6 / 6 games covered

Attempts / game
55.5
Corsi share (%)
52.0
Fenwick share (%)
50.4
Faceoff win %
47.1
Penalties / game
4.0

Shots / game: 26.0 · Shooting: 13.5% · Avg distance: 33.3 ft

Minnesota Wild

7 / 7 games covered

Attempts / game
57.9
Corsi share (%)
49.7
Fenwick share (%)
50.5
Faceoff win %
53.0
Penalties / game
4.14

Shots / game: 27.7 · Shooting: 10.8% · Avg distance: 34.2 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
St. Louis Blues STL
Metric
Minnesota Wild MIN
11Points18
0.500Points %0.692
35Goals for41
35Goals against30
0Goal differential11
L1Current streakW2
Road versus home
St. Louis Blues STL road
Metric
Minnesota Wild MIN home
6Games4
2Wins4
4Points8
-2Goal differential7
Last 10 games
St. Louis Blues STL
Metric
Minnesota Wild MIN
4-5-1Record6-3-1
9Points13
31Goals for32
35Goals against25
-4Goal differential7
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

St. Louis Blues STL 6 wins
10 games reviewed
Minnesota Wild MIN 4 wins
Total goals32 – 31
Goal differential +1 / -1
Goals per game3.2 / 3.1
Shots per game27.6 / 25.4
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Apr 13, 2026
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
3 - 6 31 - 22 View
Mar 1, 2026
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild
3 - 1 24 - 23 View
Oct 9, 2025
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
5 - 0 21 - 26 View
Mar 15, 2025
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild
5 - 1 28 - 18 View
Jan 7, 2025
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild
4 - 6 33 - 26 View
Nov 19, 2024
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
4 - 2 28 - 24 View
Oct 15, 2024
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
4 - 1 27 - 28 View
Mar 23, 2024
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild
5 - 4 27 - 34 View
Mar 16, 2024
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
2 - 3 24 - 37 View
Mar 2, 2024
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
1 - 3 22 - 27 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings STL MIN