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St. Louis Blues vs Minnesota Wild prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 1, 2026

NHL matchup

St. Louis Blues at Minnesota Wild

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 1, 2026.

March 1, 2026 · 5:30 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 1. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

St. Louis Blues

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

125:12 together · 9 games

xG share46.9%
Corsi for / against
103 / 126
Fenwick for / against
75 / 86
Corsi share
45.0%
Fenwick share
46.6%
xG for / against
4.93 / 5.59
All observed combinations

Minnesota Wild

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

187:54 together · 10 games

xG share50.9%
Corsi for / against
195 / 191
Fenwick for / against
139 / 139
Corsi share
50.5%
Fenwick share
50.0%
xG for / against
9.98 / 9.63
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Jordan Binnington

St. Louis Blues · Last start: Feb 28

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
125
Save %
85.6
Goals allowed
18
Close-range shots %
33.6

Jesper Wallstedt

Minnesota Wild · Last start: Feb 27

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
146
Save %
89.0
Goals allowed
16
Close-range shots %
33.6
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 1, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

St. Louis Blues

xG for / game
2.73
xG against / game
2.95
xG differential / game
-0.22

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Minnesota Wild

xG for / game
3.25
xG against / game
3.38
xG differential / game
-0.14

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 1, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

St. Louis Blues

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
54.9
Corsi share (%)
50.2
Fenwick share (%)
49.6
Faceoff win %
47.7
Penalties / game
3.8

Shots / game: 27.4 · Shooting: 12.0% · Avg distance: 34.8 ft

Minnesota Wild

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
58.9
Corsi share (%)
46.6
Fenwick share (%)
47.0
Faceoff win %
43.5
Penalties / game
3.5

Shots / game: 28.2 · Shooting: 14.5% · Avg distance: 31.1 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
St. Louis Blues STL
Metric
Minnesota Wild MIN
11Points18
0.500Points %0.692
35Goals for41
35Goals against30
0Goal differential11
L1Current streakW2
Road versus home
St. Louis Blues STL road
Metric
Minnesota Wild MIN home
6Games4
2Wins4
4Points8
-2Goal differential7
Last 10 games
St. Louis Blues STL
Metric
Minnesota Wild MIN
4-5-1Record6-3-1
9Points13
31Goals for32
35Goals against25
-4Goal differential7
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

St. Louis Blues STL 4 wins
10 games reviewed
Minnesota Wild MIN 6 wins
Total goals27 – 35
Goal differential -8 / +8
Goals per game2.7 / 3.5
Shots per game29.4 / 26.7
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Oct 9, 2025
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
5 - 0 21 - 26 View
Mar 15, 2025
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild
5 - 1 28 - 18 View
Jan 7, 2025
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild
4 - 6 33 - 26 View
Nov 19, 2024
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
4 - 2 28 - 24 View
Oct 15, 2024
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
4 - 1 27 - 28 View
Mar 23, 2024
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild
5 - 4 27 - 34 View
Mar 16, 2024
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
2 - 3 24 - 37 View
Mar 2, 2024
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
1 - 3 22 - 27 View
Nov 28, 2023
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild
1 - 3 24 - 37 View
Apr 8, 2023
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild
3 - 5 40 - 30 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.