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St. Louis Blues vs Dallas Stars prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for February 4, 2026

NHL matchup

St. Louis Blues at Dallas Stars

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for February 4, 2026.

February 4, 2026 · 8:30 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 4. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

St. Louis Blues

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

127:21 together · 9 games

xG share42.3%
Corsi for / against
105 / 133
Fenwick for / against
77 / 98
Corsi share
44.1%
Fenwick share
44.0%
xG for / against
4.31 / 5.88
All observed combinations

Dallas Stars

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

68:24 together · 10 games

xG share72.3%
Corsi for / against
75 / 49
Fenwick for / against
50 / 28
Corsi share
60.5%
Fenwick share
64.1%
xG for / against
3.53 / 1.35
Defense pair

113:17 together · 10 games

xG share51.9%
Corsi for / against
87 / 102
Fenwick for / against
65 / 70
Corsi share
46.0%
Fenwick share
48.1%
xG for / against
4.42 / 4.10
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Joel Hofer

St. Louis Blues · Last start: Feb 2

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
127
Save %
85.8
Goals allowed
18
Close-range shots %
28.3

Jake Oettinger

Dallas Stars · Last start: Feb 2

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
114
Save %
87.7
Goals allowed
14
Close-range shots %
23.7
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 4, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

St. Louis Blues

xG for / game
2.76
xG against / game
2.97
xG differential / game
-0.21

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Dallas Stars

xG for / game
3.12
xG against / game
2.52
xG differential / game
0.60

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 4, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

St. Louis Blues

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
55.0
Corsi share (%)
48.6
Fenwick share (%)
47.9
Faceoff win %
47.9
Penalties / game
3.8

Shots / game: 27.7 · Shooting: 10.1% · Avg distance: 34.0 ft

Dallas Stars

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
55.3
Corsi share (%)
50.6
Fenwick share (%)
52.8
Faceoff win %
53.0
Penalties / game
2.5

Shots / game: 26.7 · Shooting: 10.1% · Avg distance: 33.4 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
St. Louis Blues STL
Metric
Dallas Stars DAL
11Points15
0.500Points %0.682
35Goals for32
35Goals against20
0Goal differential12
L1Current streakW5
Road versus home
St. Louis Blues STL road
Metric
Dallas Stars DAL home
6Games6
2Wins4
4Points8
-2Goal differential5
Last 10 games
St. Louis Blues STL
Metric
Dallas Stars DAL
4-5-1Record7-2-1
9Points15
31Goals for32
35Goals against16
-4Goal differential16
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

St. Louis Blues STL 3 wins
10 games reviewed
Dallas Stars DAL 7 wins
Total goals20 – 26
Goal differential -6 / +6
Goals per game2.0 / 2.6
Shots per game27.5 / 27.3
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Jan 27, 2026
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
4 - 3 24 - 26 View
Jan 23, 2026
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
2 - 3 22 - 19 View
Oct 18, 2025
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
1 - 3 19 - 22 View
Mar 2, 2025
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
3 - 6 42 - 21 View
Jan 25, 2025
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
2 - 0 19 - 33 View
Dec 14, 2024
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
1 - 2 16 - 37 View
Apr 17, 2024
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
1 - 2 26 - 37 View
Dec 27, 2023
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
1 - 2 40 - 30 View
Dec 16, 2023
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
3 - 4 23 - 34 View
Oct 12, 2023
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
1 - 2 24 - 34 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.