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St. Louis Blues vs Dallas Stars prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 23, 2026

NHL matchup

St. Louis Blues at Dallas Stars

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 23, 2026.

January 23, 2026 · 7:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 23. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

St. Louis Blues

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

116:51 together · 9 games

xG share45.2%
Corsi for / against
103 / 125
Fenwick for / against
77 / 90
Corsi share
45.2%
Fenwick share
46.1%
xG for / against
4.69 / 5.68
All observed combinations

Dallas Stars

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

81:28 together · 10 games

xG share64.8%
Corsi for / against
86 / 54
Fenwick for / against
59 / 44
Corsi share
61.4%
Fenwick share
57.3%
xG for / against
3.79 / 2.05
Defense pair

116:38 together · 8 games

xG share53.0%
Corsi for / against
92 / 82
Fenwick for / against
62 / 51
Corsi share
52.9%
Fenwick share
54.9%
xG for / against
4.45 / 3.96
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Joel Hofer

St. Louis Blues · Last start: Jan 20

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
132
Save %
91.7
Goals allowed
11
Close-range shots %
20.5

Casey DeSmith

Dallas Stars · Last start: Jan 22

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
119
Save %
91.6
Goals allowed
10
Close-range shots %
30.3
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 23, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

St. Louis Blues

xG for / game
2.57
xG against / game
3.07
xG differential / game
-0.50

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Dallas Stars

xG for / game
3.09
xG against / game
2.93
xG differential / game
0.16

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 23, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

St. Louis Blues

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
50.6
Corsi share (%)
45.5
Fenwick share (%)
44.6
Faceoff win %
48.3
Penalties / game
3.3

Shots / game: 23.0 · Shooting: 8.7% · Avg distance: 33.2 ft

Dallas Stars

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
53.2
Corsi share (%)
48.8
Fenwick share (%)
47.8
Faceoff win %
50.8
Penalties / game
3.5

Shots / game: 26.2 · Shooting: 9.9% · Avg distance: 32.1 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
St. Louis Blues STL
Metric
Dallas Stars DAL
11Points15
0.458Points %0.625
35Goals for33
37Goals against25
-2Goal differential8
L2Current streakL1
Road versus home
St. Louis Blues STL road
Metric
Dallas Stars DAL home
6Games7
2Wins4
4Points8
-2Goal differential1
Last 10 games
St. Louis Blues STL
Metric
Dallas Stars DAL
4-5-1Record7-2-1
9Points15
30Goals for32
31Goals against19
-1Goal differential13
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

St. Louis Blues STL 3 wins
10 games reviewed
Dallas Stars DAL 7 wins
Total goals17 – 25
Goal differential -8 / +8
Goals per game1.7 / 2.5
Shots per game27.0 / 30.1
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Oct 18, 2025
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
1 - 3 19 - 22 View
Mar 2, 2025
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
3 - 6 42 - 21 View
Jan 25, 2025
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
2 - 0 19 - 33 View
Dec 14, 2024
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
1 - 2 16 - 37 View
Apr 17, 2024
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
1 - 2 26 - 37 View
Dec 27, 2023
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
1 - 2 40 - 30 View
Dec 16, 2023
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
3 - 4 23 - 34 View
Oct 12, 2023
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
1 - 2 24 - 34 View
Apr 13, 2023
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
0 - 1 25 - 34 View
Apr 12, 2023
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
5 - 2 37 - 18 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.