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St. Louis Blues vs Chicago Blackhawks prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for February 17, 2027

NHL matchup

St. Louis Blues at Chicago Blackhawks

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for February 17, 2027.

February 17, 2027 · 6:30 PM CST
Model V2 pick: St. Louis Blues at 53.1%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

St. Louis Blues logo
Away team

St. Louis Blues

53.1%
Fair American -113
Fair decimal 1.88
Calculate value
Chicago Blackhawks logo
Home team

Chicago Blackhawks

46.9%
Fair American +113
Fair decimal 2.13
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Feb 17, 2027.

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 17. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

St. Louis Blues

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

113:14 together · 10 games

xG share49.2%
Corsi for / against
104 / 102
Fenwick for / against
75 / 86
Corsi share
50.5%
Fenwick share
46.6%
xG for / against
5.79 / 5.98
All observed combinations

Chicago Blackhawks

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

71:17 together · 9 games

xG share55.1%
Corsi for / against
48 / 57
Fenwick for / against
39 / 42
Corsi share
45.7%
Fenwick share
48.1%
xG for / against
2.97 / 2.42
Defense pair

112:28 together · 10 games

xG share40.8%
Corsi for / against
59 / 104
Fenwick for / against
48 / 77
Corsi share
36.2%
Fenwick share
38.4%
xG for / against
3.26 / 4.74
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Joel Hofer

St. Louis Blues · Last start: Oct 24

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
157
Save %
91.1
Goals allowed
14
Close-range shots %
34.4

Spencer Knight

Chicago Blackhawks · Last start: Oct 25

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
154
Save %
89.6
Goals allowed
16
Close-range shots %
42.2
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 17, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

St. Louis Blues

xG for / game
2.90
xG against / game
2.82
xG differential / game
0.08

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Chicago Blackhawks

xG for / game
2.38
xG against / game
3.48
xG differential / game
-1.10

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 17, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

St. Louis Blues

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
54.5
Corsi share (%)
49.7
Fenwick share (%)
47.5
Faceoff win %
49.9
Penalties / game
2.9

Shots / game: 26.7 · Shooting: 11.6% · Avg distance: 31.9 ft

Chicago Blackhawks

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
45.1
Corsi share (%)
43.2
Fenwick share (%)
41.9
Faceoff win %
42.7
Penalties / game
3.8

Shots / game: 20.9 · Shooting: 10.5% · Avg distance: 31.3 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
St. Louis Blues STL
Metric
Chicago Blackhawks CHI
11Points6
0.500Points %0.273
35Goals for24
35Goals against43
0Goal differential-19
L1Current streakL3
Road versus home
St. Louis Blues STL road
Metric
Chicago Blackhawks CHI home
6Games7
2Wins3
4Points6
-2Goal differential-6
Last 10 games
St. Louis Blues STL
Metric
Chicago Blackhawks CHI
4-5-1Record3-7-0
9Points6
31Goals for22
35Goals against38
-4Goal differential-16
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

St. Louis Blues STL 7 wins
10 games reviewed
Chicago Blackhawks CHI 3 wins
Total goals44 – 39
Goal differential +5 / -5
Goals per game4.4 / 3.9
Shots per game29.9 / 26.6
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Oct 6, 2026
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
2 - 4 28 - 21 View
Apr 11, 2026
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
5 - 3 28 - 34 View
Jan 7, 2026
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
3 - 7 30 - 35 View
Dec 12, 2025
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
2 - 3 29 - 26 View
Oct 15, 2025
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
8 - 3 29 - 26 View
Mar 22, 2025
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
1 - 4 27 - 25 View
Feb 8, 2025
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
5 - 6 21 - 40 View
Dec 31, 2024
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
6 - 2 28 - 30 View
Apr 10, 2024
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
2 - 5 20 - 26 View
Dec 23, 2023
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
5 - 7 20 - 42 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.