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St. Louis Blues vs Chicago Blackhawks prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for April 11, 2026

NHL matchup

St. Louis Blues at Chicago Blackhawks

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for April 11, 2026.

April 11, 2026 · 4:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Apr 11. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

St. Louis Blues

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

141:15 together · 10 games

xG share53.1%
Corsi for / against
125 / 119
Fenwick for / against
93 / 87
Corsi share
51.2%
Fenwick share
51.7%
xG for / against
7.05 / 6.22
All observed combinations

Chicago Blackhawks

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

118:16 together · 10 games

xG share39.2%
Corsi for / against
88 / 134
Fenwick for / against
67 / 106
Corsi share
39.6%
Fenwick share
38.7%
xG for / against
4.58 / 7.11
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Jordan Binnington

St. Louis Blues · Last start: Apr 9

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
104
Save %
90.4
Goals allowed
10
Close-range shots %
30.8

Spencer Knight

Chicago Blackhawks · Last start: Apr 9

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
141
Save %
86.5
Goals allowed
19
Close-range shots %
35.5
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Apr 11, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

St. Louis Blues

xG for / game
3.11
xG against / game
2.72
xG differential / game
0.39

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Chicago Blackhawks

xG for / game
2.88
xG against / game
3.88
xG differential / game
-1.00

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Apr 11, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

St. Louis Blues

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
55.0
Corsi share (%)
50.5
Fenwick share (%)
49.9
Faceoff win %
48.3
Penalties / game
3.1

Shots / game: 25.8 · Shooting: 11.6% · Avg distance: 30.6 ft

Chicago Blackhawks

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
51.7
Corsi share (%)
44.0
Fenwick share (%)
42.8
Faceoff win %
41.9
Penalties / game
2.6

Shots / game: 26.2 · Shooting: 8.8% · Avg distance: 32.2 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
St. Louis Blues STL
Metric
Chicago Blackhawks CHI
11Points6
0.500Points %0.273
35Goals for24
35Goals against43
0Goal differential-19
L1Current streakL3
Road versus home
St. Louis Blues STL road
Metric
Chicago Blackhawks CHI home
6Games7
2Wins3
4Points6
-2Goal differential-6
Last 10 games
St. Louis Blues STL
Metric
Chicago Blackhawks CHI
4-5-1Record3-7-0
9Points6
31Goals for22
35Goals against38
-4Goal differential-16
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

St. Louis Blues STL 7 wins
10 games reviewed
Chicago Blackhawks CHI 3 wins
Total goals42 – 37
Goal differential +5 / -5
Goals per game4.2 / 3.7
Shots per game31.0 / 26.8
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Jan 7, 2026
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
3 - 7 30 - 35 View
Dec 12, 2025
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
2 - 3 29 - 26 View
Oct 15, 2025
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
8 - 3 29 - 26 View
Mar 22, 2025
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
1 - 4 27 - 25 View
Feb 8, 2025
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
5 - 6 21 - 40 View
Dec 31, 2024
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
6 - 2 28 - 30 View
Apr 10, 2024
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
2 - 5 20 - 26 View
Dec 23, 2023
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
5 - 7 20 - 42 View
Dec 9, 2023
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
1 - 3 39 - 24 View
Nov 26, 2023
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
4 - 2 28 - 33 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.