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St. Louis Blues vs Carolina Hurricanes prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 12, 2026

NHL matchup

St. Louis Blues at Carolina Hurricanes

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 12, 2026.

March 12, 2026 · 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 12. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

St. Louis Blues

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

122:16 together · 10 games

xG share41.2%
Corsi for / against
112 / 127
Fenwick for / against
73 / 94
Corsi share
46.9%
Fenwick share
43.7%
xG for / against
4.21 / 6.00
All observed combinations

Carolina Hurricanes

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

110:37 together · 10 games

xG share59.9%
Corsi for / against
143 / 77
Fenwick for / against
97 / 57
Corsi share
65.0%
Fenwick share
63.0%
xG for / against
6.19 / 4.15
Defense pair

161:54 together · 10 games

xG share51.6%
Corsi for / against
172 / 117
Fenwick for / against
113 / 85
Corsi share
59.5%
Fenwick share
57.1%
xG for / against
7.50 / 7.03
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Joel Hofer

St. Louis Blues · Last start: Mar 10

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
155
Save %
94.8
Goals allowed
8
Close-range shots %
27.1

Frederik Andersen

Carolina Hurricanes · Last start: Mar 10

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
130
Save %
88.5
Goals allowed
15
Close-range shots %
30.8
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 12, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

St. Louis Blues

xG for / game
2.85
xG against / game
3.20
xG differential / game
-0.34

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Carolina Hurricanes

xG for / game
3.58
xG against / game
2.66
xG differential / game
0.92

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 12, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

St. Louis Blues

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
51.7
Corsi share (%)
47.3
Fenwick share (%)
46.0
Faceoff win %
47.4
Penalties / game
3.4

Shots / game: 26.6 · Shooting: 12.8% · Avg distance: 34.7 ft

Carolina Hurricanes

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
70.3
Corsi share (%)
61.0
Fenwick share (%)
59.7
Faceoff win %
49.9
Penalties / game
3.4

Shots / game: 33.9 · Shooting: 11.8% · Avg distance: 32.6 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
St. Louis Blues STL
Metric
Carolina Hurricanes CAR
11Points22
0.458Points %0.786
35Goals for53
37Goals against34
-2Goal differential19
L2Current streakW2
Road versus home
St. Louis Blues STL road
Metric
Carolina Hurricanes CAR home
6Games5
2Wins3
4Points7
-2Goal differential4
Last 10 games
St. Louis Blues STL
Metric
Carolina Hurricanes CAR
4-5-1Record8-1-1
9Points17
30Goals for42
31Goals against22
-1Goal differential20
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

St. Louis Blues STL 4 wins
10 games reviewed
Carolina Hurricanes CAR 6 wins
Total goals27 – 36
Goal differential -9 / +9
Goals per game2.7 / 3.6
Shots per game28.2 / 32.1
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Jan 13, 2026
Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
0 - 3 33 - 31 View
Nov 17, 2024
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes
1 - 4 30 - 24 View
Oct 19, 2024
Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
3 - 4 40 - 19 View
Apr 12, 2024
Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
5 - 2 42 - 31 View
Jan 6, 2024
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes
2 - 1 22 - 30 View
Feb 21, 2023
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes
1 - 4 36 - 36 View
Dec 1, 2022
Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
6 - 4 36 - 26 View
Mar 26, 2022
Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
7 - 2 28 - 32 View
Nov 13, 2021
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes
2 - 3 29 - 24 View
Feb 4, 2020
Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
3 - 6 28 - 26 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.