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Seattle Kraken vs Winnipeg Jets prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 1, 2027

NHL matchup

Seattle Kraken at Winnipeg Jets

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 1, 2027.

March 1, 2027 · 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 pick: Seattle Kraken at 59.4%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Seattle Kraken logo
Away team

Seattle Kraken

59.4%
Fair American -146
Fair decimal 1.68
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Mar 1, 2027.

All Model Picks

Bets
5
Record
4-1
Net units
2.88
ROI
57.7%

Value Picks

Bets
10
Record
5-5
Net units
1.57
ROI
15.7%

Market Favourite

Bets
2
Record
2-0
Net units
1.59
ROI
79.6%

All Model Picks

Bets
4
Record
1-3
Net units
-2.07
ROI
-51.9%

Value Picks

Bets
6
Record
2-4
Net units
-0.82
ROI
-13.7%

Market Favourite

Bets
4
Record
1-3
Net units
-2.07
ROI
-51.9%

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 1. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Seattle Kraken

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

81:54 together · 10 games

xG share56.9%
Corsi for / against
86 / 90
Fenwick for / against
62 / 61
Corsi share
48.9%
Fenwick share
50.4%
xG for / against
4.48 / 3.40
Defense pair

152:33 together · 10 games

xG share37.4%
Corsi for / against
117 / 221
Fenwick for / against
81 / 162
Corsi share
34.6%
Fenwick share
33.3%
xG for / against
5.10 / 8.52
All observed combinations

Winnipeg Jets

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

135:56 together · 10 games

xG share50.6%
Corsi for / against
159 / 130
Fenwick for / against
120 / 104
Corsi share
55.0%
Fenwick share
53.6%
xG for / against
7.78 / 7.59
Defense pair

121:50 together · 10 games

xG share47.1%
Corsi for / against
114 / 112
Fenwick for / against
83 / 81
Corsi share
50.4%
Fenwick share
50.6%
xG for / against
4.74 / 5.31
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Joey Daccord

Seattle Kraken · Last start: Oct 24

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
162
Save %
87.0
Goals allowed
21
Close-range shots %
34.0

Stuart Skinner

Winnipeg Jets · Last start: Oct 25

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
136
Save %
90.4
Goals allowed
13
Close-range shots %
38.2
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 1, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Seattle Kraken

xG for / game
2.74
xG against / game
3.63
xG differential / game
-0.89

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Winnipeg Jets

xG for / game
2.87
xG against / game
3.38
xG differential / game
-0.51

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 1, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Seattle Kraken

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
51.3
Corsi share (%)
42.3
Fenwick share (%)
43.4
Faceoff win %
52.5
Penalties / game
3.6

Shots / game: 26.2 · Shooting: 13.7% · Avg distance: 34.6 ft

Winnipeg Jets

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
56.6
Corsi share (%)
48.6
Fenwick share (%)
47.4
Faceoff win %
45.1
Penalties / game
2.9

Shots / game: 26.6 · Shooting: 9.0% · Avg distance: 32.0 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Seattle Kraken SEA
Metric
Winnipeg Jets WPG
15Points11
0.625Points %0.500
45Goals for27
42Goals against31
3Goal differential-4
L1Current streakL1
Road versus home
Seattle Kraken SEA road
Metric
Winnipeg Jets WPG home
7Games6
4Wins2
9Points5
3Goal differential-3
Last 10 games
Seattle Kraken SEA
Metric
Winnipeg Jets WPG
6-3-1Record4-4-2
13Points10
38Goals for24
38Goals against27
0Goal differential-3
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Seattle Kraken SEA 3 wins
10 games reviewed
Winnipeg Jets WPG 7 wins
Total goals25 – 31
Goal differential -6 / +6
Goals per game2.5 / 3.1
Shots per game23.4 / 31.6
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Apr 6, 2026
Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken at Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets
2 - 6 24 - 31 View
Nov 13, 2025
Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets at Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken
3 - 5 26 - 18 View
Oct 23, 2025
Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken at Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets
3 - 0 28 - 32 View
Mar 16, 2025
Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets at Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken
3 - 2 26 - 21 View
Jan 16, 2025
Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken at Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets
1 - 2 18 - 36 View
Oct 24, 2024
Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets at Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken
4 - 3 36 - 32 View
Apr 16, 2024
Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken at Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets
3 - 4 23 - 24 View
Mar 8, 2024
Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets at Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken
3 - 0 32 - 17 View
Mar 5, 2024
Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken at Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets
4 - 3 24 - 33 View
Feb 14, 2023
Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken at Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets
2 - 3 29 - 40 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.