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Seattle Kraken vs Philadelphia Flyers prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for October 13, 2026

NHL matchup

Seattle Kraken at Philadelphia Flyers

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for October 13, 2026.

October 13, 2026 · 6:00 PM CST
Away

Seattle Kraken

7-4-1

3 Model pick
Final
Home

Philadelphia Flyers

3-7-4

2
Model V2 pick: Seattle Kraken at 59.3% View final boxscore
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Seattle Kraken logo
Away team

Seattle Kraken

59.3%
Fair American -146
Fair decimal 1.69
Best market +102 · DraftKings
Market implied 49.5%
Edge +9.8%
Expected value +19.8%
Calculate value
Philadelphia Flyers logo
Home team

Philadelphia Flyers

40.7%
Fair American +146
Fair decimal 2.46
Best market -114 · BetRivers
Market implied 53.3%
Edge -12.6%
Expected value -23.6%
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Oct 13, 2026.

Seattle Kraken

All Model Picks

Bets
2
Record
2-0
Net units
1.94
ROI
96.8%

Value Picks

Bets
4
Record
2-2
Net units
1.12
ROI
28.0%

Market Favourite

Bets
1
Record
1-0
Net units
0.67
ROI
66.7%
Full team betting results

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 13. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Seattle Kraken

6 / 6 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

95:39 together · 6 games

xG share52.7%
Corsi for / against
91 / 90
Fenwick for / against
67 / 67
Corsi share
50.3%
Fenwick share
50.0%
xG for / against
4.73 / 4.25
All observed combinations

Philadelphia Flyers

7 / 7 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

41:29 together · 3 games

xG share26.3%
Corsi for / against
35 / 66
Fenwick for / against
28 / 54
Corsi share
34.7%
Fenwick share
34.1%
xG for / against
1.29 / 3.62
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Seattle Kraken

Philipp Grubauer 52.7%
Other eligible goalies

Why Philipp Grubauer?

Top five influences

Raises the scoreLowers the score
Goalie team start share
-0.436
Won previous appearance
+0.290
Appearances last 5 goalie rows
+0.286
Started last game
+0.224
Team played yesterday
-0.219
About these predictions

Values are SHAP contributions in log-odds. Bar lengths show relative strength within this goalie’s top five factors.

SHAP shows the strongest influences on this goalie's raw starter score compared with the model's baseline. These are not percentage-point changes to the displayed share or proof of causation. Eligibility exclusions and other goalies also affect the displayed share.

Updated Oct 13, 5:02 AM Winnipeg time

Philadelphia Flyers

Dan Vladar 55.4%
Other eligible goalies

Why Dan Vladar?

Top five influences

Raises the scoreLowers the score
Team win pct before
+0.724
Started last game
+0.276
Prev save pct
-0.261
Goalie win pct before
-0.260
Team played yesterday
-0.212
About these predictions

Values are SHAP contributions in log-odds. Bar lengths show relative strength within this goalie’s top five factors.

SHAP shows the strongest influences on this goalie's raw starter score compared with the model's baseline. These are not percentage-point changes to the displayed share or proof of causation. Eligibility exclusions and other goalies also affect the displayed share.

Updated Oct 13, 5:02 AM Winnipeg time

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Joey Daccord

Seattle Kraken · Last start: Oct 11

4 / 4 appearances covered

Shots faced
115
Save %
91.3
Goals allowed
10
Close-range shots %
34.8

Joseph Woll

Philadelphia Flyers · Last start: Oct 11

4 / 4 appearances covered

Shots faced
140
Save %
91.4
Goals allowed
12
Close-range shots %
28.6
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 13, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Seattle Kraken

xG for / game
3.09
xG against / game
3.28
xG differential / game
-0.19

6 / 6 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Philadelphia Flyers

xG for / game
2.16
xG against / game
4.02
xG differential / game
-1.86

7 / 7 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 13, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Seattle Kraken

6 / 6 games covered

Attempts / game
51.2
Corsi share (%)
42.8
Fenwick share (%)
45.1
Faceoff win %
49.9
Penalties / game
4.33

Shots / game: 26.2 · Shooting: 16.6% · Avg distance: 33.0 ft

Philadelphia Flyers

7 / 7 games covered

Attempts / game
44.3
Corsi share (%)
39.3
Fenwick share (%)
38.5
Faceoff win %
51.2
Penalties / game
4.29

Shots / game: 20.0 · Shooting: 5.7% · Avg distance: 33.0 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Seattle Kraken SEA
Metric
Philadelphia Flyers PHI
15Points10
0.625Points %0.357
45Goals for27
42Goals against46
3Goal differential-19
L1Current streakOT1
Road versus home
Seattle Kraken SEA road
Metric
Philadelphia Flyers PHI home
7Games8
4Wins2
9Points7
3Goal differential-11
Last 10 games
Seattle Kraken SEA
Metric
Philadelphia Flyers PHI
6-3-1Record3-5-2
13Points8
38Goals for22
38Goals against29
0Goal differential-7
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Seattle Kraken SEA 6 wins
10 games reviewed
Philadelphia Flyers PHI 4 wins
Total goals33 – 29
Goal differential +4 / -4
Goals per game3.3 / 2.9
Shots per game26.3 / 26.0
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Dec 28, 2025
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken
1 - 4 32 - 20 View
Oct 20, 2025
Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
2 - 5 23 - 27 View
Mar 8, 2025
Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
4 - 1 32 - 24 View
Oct 17, 2024
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken
4 - 6 25 - 29 View
Feb 10, 2024
Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
2 - 3 19 - 38 View
Dec 29, 2023
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken
1 - 2 28 - 29 View
Feb 16, 2023
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken
2 - 6 19 - 30 View
Feb 12, 2023
Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
4 - 3 21 - 18 View
Dec 29, 2021
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken
3 - 2 22 - 36 View
Oct 18, 2021
Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
1 - 6 24 - 27 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings SEA PHI