Away team
Seattle Kraken
48.7%
Fair American
+105
Fair decimal
2.05
Seattle Kraken vs Ottawa Senators prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 6, 2027
NHL matchup
Seattle Kraken at Ottawa Senators
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 6, 2027.
March 6, 2027
· 2:00 PM CST
Model V2 pick:
Ottawa Senators at 51.3%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Ottawa Senators
51.3%
Fair American
-105
Fair decimal
1.95
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Mar 6, 2027.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 5
- Record
- 4-1
- Net units
- 2.88
- ROI
- 57.7%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 10
- Record
- 5-5
- Net units
- 1.57
- ROI
- 15.7%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 2
- Record
- 2-0
- Net units
- 1.59
- ROI
- 79.6%
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 5
- Record
- 3-2
- Net units
- 0.10
- ROI
- 1.9%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 2
- Record
- 1-1
- Net units
- -0.17
- ROI
- -8.7%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 8
- Record
- 5-3
- Net units
- 0.63
- ROI
- 7.8%
This game and later dates are excluded.
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 6. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Seattle Kraken
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
81:54 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 86 / 90
- Fenwick for / against
- 62 / 61
- Corsi share
- 48.9%
- Fenwick share
- 50.4%
- xG for / against
- 4.48 / 3.40
Defense pair
152:33 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 117 / 221
- Fenwick for / against
- 81 / 162
- Corsi share
- 34.6%
- Fenwick share
- 33.3%
- xG for / against
- 5.10 / 8.52
Ottawa Senators
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
39:23 together · 8 games
- Corsi for / against
- 35 / 53
- Fenwick for / against
- 25 / 39
- Corsi share
- 39.8%
- Fenwick share
- 39.1%
- xG for / against
- 1.87 / 2.05
Defense pair
70:48 together · 9 games
- Corsi for / against
- 84 / 68
- Fenwick for / against
- 58 / 39
- Corsi share
- 55.3%
- Fenwick share
- 59.8%
- xG for / against
- 4.13 / 2.14
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
Seattle Kraken
Expected starter unavailable.
Ottawa Senators
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Joey Daccord
Seattle Kraken · Last start: Oct 24
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 162
- Save %
- 87.0
- Goals allowed
- 21
- Close-range shots %
- 34.0
Jonas Johansson
Ottawa Senators · Last start: Oct 24
1 / 1 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 28
- Save %
- 85.7
- Goals allowed
- 4
- Close-range shots %
- 39.3
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 6, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
Seattle Kraken
- xG for / game
- 2.74
- xG against / game
- 3.63
- xG differential / game
- -0.89
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Ottawa Senators
- xG for / game
- 2.85
- xG against / game
- 2.77
- xG differential / game
- 0.07
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 6, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
Seattle Kraken
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 51.3
- Corsi share (%)
- 42.3
- Fenwick share (%)
- 43.4
- Faceoff win %
- 52.5
- Penalties / game
- 3.6
Shots / game: 26.2 · Shooting: 13.7% · Avg distance: 34.6 ft
Ottawa Senators
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 54.6
- Corsi share (%)
- 48.4
- Fenwick share (%)
- 48.9
- Faceoff win %
- 52.3
- Penalties / game
- 4.9
Shots / game: 25.2 · Shooting: 11.5% · Avg distance: 32.3 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
SEA
|
Metric |
OTT
|
|---|---|---|
| 15 | Points | 16 |
| 0.625 | Points % | 0.667 |
| 45 | Goals for | 38 |
| 42 | Goals against | 34 |
| 3 | Goal differential | 4 |
| L1 | Current streak | W1 |
Road versus home
|
SEA road
|
Metric |
OTT home
|
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Games | 7 |
| 4 | Wins | 5 |
| 9 | Points | 10 |
| 3 | Goal differential | 1 |
Last 10 games
|
SEA
|
Metric |
OTT
|
|---|---|---|
| 6-3-1 | Record | 6-4-0 |
| 13 | Points | 12 |
| 38 | Goals for | 31 |
| 38 | Goals against | 31 |
| 0 | Goal differential | 0 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
SEA
3 wins
10
games reviewed
OTT
7 wins
Total goals30 – 35
Goal differential
-5
/
+5
Goals per game3.0 / 3.5
Shots per game29.2 / 26.5
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 |
Ottawa Senators
at
Seattle Kraken
|
7 - 4 | 36 - 21 | View |
| Oct 16, 2025 |
Seattle Kraken
at
Ottawa Senators
|
3 - 4 | 33 - 23 | View |
| Dec 17, 2024 |
Ottawa Senators
at
Seattle Kraken
|
3 - 0 | 27 - 30 | View |
| Nov 2, 2024 |
Seattle Kraken
at
Ottawa Senators
|
0 - 3 | 22 - 23 | View |
| Jan 4, 2024 |
Ottawa Senators
at
Seattle Kraken
|
1 - 4 | 33 - 28 | View |
| Dec 2, 2023 |
Seattle Kraken
at
Ottawa Senators
|
0 - 2 | 39 - 28 | View |
| Mar 9, 2023 |
Ottawa Senators
at
Seattle Kraken
|
5 - 4 | 31 - 33 | View |
| Jan 7, 2023 |
Seattle Kraken
at
Ottawa Senators
|
8 - 4 | 24 - 23 | View |
| Apr 18, 2022 |
Ottawa Senators
at
Seattle Kraken
|
2 - 4 | 14 - 29 | View |
| Mar 10, 2022 |
Seattle Kraken
at
Ottawa Senators
|
3 - 4 | 33 - 27 | View |