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Seattle Kraken vs New York Islanders prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 23, 2027

NHL matchup

Seattle Kraken at New York Islanders

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 23, 2027.

January 23, 2027 · 6:30 PM CST
Away

Seattle Kraken

8-4-1

54.1% Model pick
at
Home

New York Islanders

6-4-2

45.9%
Model V2 pick: Seattle Kraken at 54.1%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Seattle Kraken logo
Away team

Seattle Kraken

54.1%
Fair American -118
Fair decimal 1.85
Calculate value
New York Islanders logo
Home team

New York Islanders

45.9%
Fair American +118
Fair decimal 2.18
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Jan 23, 2027.

Seattle Kraken

All Model Picks

Bets
5
Record
4-1
Net units
2.88
ROI
57.7%

Value Picks

Bets
11
Record
6-5
Net units
2.77
ROI
25.1%

Market Favourite

Bets
2
Record
2-0
Net units
1.59
ROI
79.6%
Full team betting results

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 23. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Seattle Kraken

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

148:03 together · 10 games

xG share39.0%
Corsi for / against
107 / 198
Fenwick for / against
73 / 145
Corsi share
35.1%
Fenwick share
33.5%
xG for / against
4.95 / 7.75
All observed combinations

New York Islanders

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

130:57 together · 10 games

xG share56.3%
Corsi for / against
136 / 93
Fenwick for / against
94 / 69
Corsi share
59.4%
Fenwick share
57.7%
xG for / against
6.43 / 5.00
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Philipp Grubauer

Seattle Kraken · Last start: Oct 28

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
142
Save %
88.7
Goals allowed
16
Close-range shots %
23.2

Semyon Varlamov

New York Islanders · Last start: Oct 27

4 / 4 appearances covered

Shots faced
92
Save %
89.1
Goals allowed
10
Close-range shots %
40.2
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 23, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Seattle Kraken

xG for / game
2.74
xG against / game
3.60
xG differential / game
-0.86

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

New York Islanders

xG for / game
2.99
xG against / game
3.38
xG differential / game
-0.39

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 23, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Seattle Kraken

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
50.4
Corsi share (%)
43.0
Fenwick share (%)
43.3
Faceoff win %
52.0
Penalties / game
3.7

Shots / game: 25.2 · Shooting: 13.9% · Avg distance: 34.2 ft

New York Islanders

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
55.7
Corsi share (%)
50.5
Fenwick share (%)
50.3
Faceoff win %
56.2
Penalties / game
4.5

Shots / game: 25.4 · Shooting: 11.0% · Avg distance: 33.4 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Seattle Kraken SEA
Metric
New York Islanders NYI
17Points14
0.654Points %0.583
50Goals for36
46Goals against32
4Goal differential4
W1Current streakW1
Road versus home
Seattle Kraken SEA road
Metric
New York Islanders NYI home
7Games6
4Wins4
9Points9
3Goal differential8
Last 10 games
Seattle Kraken SEA
Metric
New York Islanders NYI
6-3-1Record5-3-2
13Points12
37Goals for29
41Goals against30
-4Goal differential-1
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Seattle Kraken SEA 7 wins
10 games reviewed
New York Islanders NYI 3 wins
Total goals27 – 20
Goal differential +7 / -7
Goals per game2.7 / 2.0
Shots per game28.1 / 26.4
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Jan 21, 2026
New York Islanders New York Islanders at Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken
1 - 4 25 - 25 View
Nov 23, 2025
Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken at New York Islanders New York Islanders
0 - 1 19 - 34 View
Dec 5, 2024
Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken at New York Islanders New York Islanders
5 - 2 25 - 29 View
Nov 16, 2024
New York Islanders New York Islanders at Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken
2 - 3 24 - 27 View
Feb 13, 2024
Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken at New York Islanders New York Islanders
2 - 1 30 - 27 View
Nov 16, 2023
New York Islanders New York Islanders at Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken
3 - 4 23 - 32 View
Feb 7, 2023
Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken at New York Islanders New York Islanders
0 - 4 32 - 28 View
Jan 1, 2023
New York Islanders New York Islanders at Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken
1 - 4 19 - 35 View
Feb 22, 2022
New York Islanders New York Islanders at Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken
5 - 2 36 - 25 View
Feb 2, 2022
Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken at New York Islanders New York Islanders
3 - 0 31 - 19 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings SEA NYI