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Seattle Kraken vs Florida Panthers prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for October 17, 2026

NHL matchup

Seattle Kraken at Florida Panthers

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for October 17, 2026.

October 17, 2026 · 5:00 PM CST
Away

Seattle Kraken

8-4-1

3
Final
Home

Florida Panthers

7-4-2

8 Model pick
Model V2 pick: Florida Panthers at 52.7% View final boxscore
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Seattle Kraken logo
Away team

Seattle Kraken

47.3%
Fair American +111
Fair decimal 2.11
Best market +175 · BetRivers
Market implied 36.4%
Edge +10.9%
Expected value +30.1%
Calculate value
Florida Panthers logo
Home team

Florida Panthers

52.7%
Fair American -111
Fair decimal 1.9
Best market -185 · BetOnline.ag
Market implied 64.9%
Edge -12.2%
Expected value -18.8%
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Oct 17, 2026.

Seattle Kraken

All Model Picks

Bets
3
Record
3-0
Net units
2.96
ROI
98.6%

Value Picks

Bets
6
Record
3-3
Net units
1.14
ROI
19.0%

Market Favourite

Bets
1
Record
1-0
Net units
0.67
ROI
66.7%
Full team betting results

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 17. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Seattle Kraken

8 / 8 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

121:27 together · 8 games

xG share49.6%
Corsi for / against
109 / 111
Fenwick for / against
81 / 81
Corsi share
49.5%
Fenwick share
50.0%
xG for / against
5.52 / 5.60
All observed combinations

Florida Panthers

8 / 8 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

104:35 together · 8 games

xG share58.3%
Corsi for / against
99 / 65
Fenwick for / against
68 / 53
Corsi share
60.4%
Fenwick share
56.2%
xG for / against
3.64 / 2.60
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Seattle Kraken

Joey Daccord 62.2%
Other eligible goalies

Why Joey Daccord?

Top five influences

Raises the scoreLowers the score
Started last game
+0.414
Goalie team start share
+0.384
Team win pct before
-0.324
Won previous appearance
+0.240
Consecutive starts
+0.205
About these predictions

Values are SHAP contributions in log-odds. Bar lengths show relative strength within this goalie’s top five factors.

SHAP shows the strongest influences on this goalie's raw starter score compared with the model's baseline. These are not percentage-point changes to the displayed share or proof of causation. Eligibility exclusions and other goalies also affect the displayed share.

Updated Oct 17, 5:02 AM Winnipeg time

Florida Panthers

Jacob Markstrom 53.0%
Other eligible goalies

Why Jacob Markstrom?

Top five influences

Raises the scoreLowers the score
Prev save pct
-0.471
Goalie team start share
+0.439
Appearances last 5 goalie rows
+0.426
Started last game
-0.290
Days since last start
+0.210
About these predictions

Values are SHAP contributions in log-odds. Bar lengths show relative strength within this goalie’s top five factors.

SHAP shows the strongest influences on this goalie's raw starter score compared with the model's baseline. These are not percentage-point changes to the displayed share or proof of causation. Eligibility exclusions and other goalies also affect the displayed share.

Updated Oct 17, 5:02 AM Winnipeg time

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Philipp Grubauer

Seattle Kraken · Last start: Oct 15

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
133
Save %
91.0
Goals allowed
12
Close-range shots %
28.6

Akira Schmid

Florida Panthers · Last start: Oct 15

4 / 4 appearances covered

Shots faced
98
Save %
87.8
Goals allowed
12
Close-range shots %
27.6
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 17, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Seattle Kraken

xG for / game
3.13
xG against / game
3.39
xG differential / game
-0.27

8 / 8 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Florida Panthers

xG for / game
3.53
xG against / game
3.01
xG differential / game
0.53

8 / 8 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 17, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Seattle Kraken

8 / 8 games covered

Attempts / game
51.2
Corsi share (%)
43.7
Fenwick share (%)
46.1
Faceoff win %
50.2
Penalties / game
4.12

Shots / game: 26.9 · Shooting: 14.4% · Avg distance: 33.7 ft

Florida Panthers

8 / 8 games covered

Attempts / game
64.5
Corsi share (%)
56.8
Fenwick share (%)
54.5
Faceoff win %
47.8
Penalties / game
5.12

Shots / game: 28.4 · Shooting: 9.7% · Avg distance: 33.5 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Seattle Kraken SEA
Metric
Florida Panthers FLA
17Points16
0.654Points %0.615
50Goals for39
46Goals against37
4Goal differential2
W1Current streakW2
Road versus home
Seattle Kraken SEA road
Metric
Florida Panthers FLA home
7Games3
4Wins2
9Points4
3Goal differential3
Last 10 games
Seattle Kraken SEA
Metric
Florida Panthers FLA
6-3-1Record6-4-0
13Points12
37Goals for33
41Goals against30
-4Goal differential3
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Seattle Kraken SEA 6 wins
10 games reviewed
Florida Panthers FLA 4 wins
Total goals34 – 24
Goal differential +10 / -10
Goals per game3.4 / 2.4
Shots per game27.1 / 28.8
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Mar 24, 2026
Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken at Florida Panthers Florida Panthers
4 - 5 26 - 24 View
Mar 15, 2026
Florida Panthers Florida Panthers at Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken
2 - 6 25 - 25 View
Feb 22, 2025
Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken at Florida Panthers Florida Panthers
2 - 1 22 - 27 View
Dec 10, 2024
Florida Panthers Florida Panthers at Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken
2 - 1 33 - 18 View
Dec 12, 2023
Florida Panthers Florida Panthers at Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken
0 - 4 24 - 23 View
Oct 28, 2023
Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken at Florida Panthers Florida Panthers
2 - 3 33 - 37 View
Dec 11, 2022
Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken at Florida Panthers Florida Panthers
5 - 2 32 - 25 View
Dec 3, 2022
Florida Panthers Florida Panthers at Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken
5 - 1 28 - 36 View
Jan 23, 2022
Florida Panthers Florida Panthers at Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken
3 - 5 31 - 29 View
Nov 27, 2021
Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken at Florida Panthers Florida Panthers
4 - 1 27 - 34 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings SEA FLA