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Seattle Kraken vs Detroit Red Wings prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for October 9, 2026

NHL matchup

Seattle Kraken at Detroit Red Wings

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for October 9, 2026.

October 9, 2026 · 6:00 PM CST
Away

Seattle Kraken

7-4-1

6 Model pick
Final
Home

Detroit Red Wings

5-4-3

3
Model V2 pick: Seattle Kraken at 55.0% View final boxscore
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Seattle Kraken logo
Away team

Seattle Kraken

55.0%
Fair American -122
Fair decimal 1.82
Best market +127 · Bovada
Market implied 44.1%
Edge +10.9%
Expected value +24.9%
Calculate value
Detroit Red Wings logo
Home team

Detroit Red Wings

45.0%
Fair American +122
Fair decimal 2.22
Best market -140 · BetOnline.ag
Market implied 58.3%
Edge -13.3%
Expected value -22.9%
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Oct 9, 2026.

Seattle Kraken

All Model Picks

Bets
1
Record
1-0
Net units
0.67
ROI
66.7%

Value Picks

Bets
2
Record
0-2
Net units
-2.00
ROI
-100.0%

Market Favourite

Bets
1
Record
1-0
Net units
0.67
ROI
66.7%
Full team betting results

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 9. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Seattle Kraken

4 / 4 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

61:42 together · 4 games

xG share57.2%
Corsi for / against
60 / 54
Fenwick for / against
48 / 40
Corsi share
52.6%
Fenwick share
54.5%
xG for / against
3.20 / 2.39
All observed combinations

Detroit Red Wings

3 / 3 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

21:42 together · 2 games

xG share32.8%
Corsi for / against
20 / 18
Fenwick for / against
13 / 17
Corsi share
52.6%
Fenwick share
43.3%
xG for / against
0.47 / 0.96
Defense pair

31:24 together · 3 games

xG share42.6%
Corsi for / against
28 / 25
Fenwick for / against
20 / 15
Corsi share
52.8%
Fenwick share
57.1%
xG for / against
0.74 / 1.00
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Joey Daccord

Seattle Kraken · Last start: Oct 6

3 / 3 appearances covered

Shots faced
79
Save %
91.1
Goals allowed
7
Close-range shots %
34.2

John Gibson

Detroit Red Wings · Last start: Oct 6

3 / 3 appearances covered

Shots faced
72
Save %
90.3
Goals allowed
7
Close-range shots %
29.2
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 9, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Seattle Kraken

xG for / game
2.78
xG against / game
3.13
xG differential / game
-0.35

4 / 4 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Detroit Red Wings

xG for / game
3.24
xG against / game
2.59
xG differential / game
0.64

3 / 3 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 9, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Seattle Kraken

4 / 4 games covered

Attempts / game
49.5
Corsi share (%)
42.4
Fenwick share (%)
45.6
Faceoff win %
49.6
Penalties / game
5.25

Shots / game: 26.5 · Shooting: 14.2% · Avg distance: 32.7 ft

Detroit Red Wings

3 / 3 games covered

Attempts / game
62.0
Corsi share (%)
55.7
Fenwick share (%)
55.4
Faceoff win %
53.6
Penalties / game
6.67

Shots / game: 31.3 · Shooting: 7.4% · Avg distance: 33.7 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Seattle Kraken SEA
Metric
Detroit Red Wings DET
15Points13
0.625Points %0.542
45Goals for33
42Goals against37
3Goal differential-4
L1Current streakW1
Road versus home
Seattle Kraken SEA road
Metric
Detroit Red Wings DET home
7Games7
4Wins3
9Points7
3Goal differential-3
Last 10 games
Seattle Kraken SEA
Metric
Detroit Red Wings DET
6-3-1Record5-2-3
13Points13
38Goals for31
38Goals against32
0Goal differential-1
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Seattle Kraken SEA 4 wins
10 games reviewed
Detroit Red Wings DET 6 wins
Total goals35 – 39
Goal differential -4 / +4
Goals per game3.5 / 3.9
Shots per game31.7 / 27.5
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Dec 6, 2025
Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings at Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken
4 - 3 25 - 27 View
Nov 18, 2025
Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken at Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings
2 - 4 22 - 27 View
Feb 4, 2025
Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings at Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken
5 - 4 40 - 27 View
Jan 12, 2025
Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken at Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings
2 - 6 33 - 23 View
Feb 19, 2024
Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings at Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken
4 - 3 32 - 41 View
Oct 24, 2023
Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken at Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings
5 - 4 38 - 27 View
Mar 2, 2023
Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken at Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings
5 - 4 37 - 29 View
Feb 18, 2023
Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings at Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken
2 - 4 23 - 26 View
Mar 19, 2022
Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings at Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken
2 - 4 23 - 42 View
Dec 1, 2021
Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken at Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings
3 - 4 24 - 26 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings SEA DET