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Seattle Kraken vs Dallas Stars prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for April 5, 2027

NHL matchup

Seattle Kraken at Dallas Stars

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for April 5, 2027.

April 5, 2027 · 7:00 PM CST
Model V2 pick: Seattle Kraken at 55.3%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Seattle Kraken logo
Away team

Seattle Kraken

55.3%
Fair American -124
Fair decimal 1.81
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Apr 5, 2027.

All Model Picks

Bets
5
Record
4-1
Net units
2.88
ROI
57.7%

Value Picks

Bets
10
Record
5-5
Net units
1.57
ROI
15.7%

Market Favourite

Bets
2
Record
2-0
Net units
1.59
ROI
79.6%

All Model Picks

Bets
3
Record
2-1
Net units
0.09
ROI
3.1%

Value Picks

Bets
0
Record
0-0
Net units
0.00
ROI
—

Market Favourite

Bets
10
Record
6-4
Net units
-0.45
ROI
-4.5%

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Apr 5. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Seattle Kraken

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

81:54 together · 10 games

xG share56.9%
Corsi for / against
86 / 90
Fenwick for / against
62 / 61
Corsi share
48.9%
Fenwick share
50.4%
xG for / against
4.48 / 3.40
Defense pair

152:33 together · 10 games

xG share37.4%
Corsi for / against
117 / 221
Fenwick for / against
81 / 162
Corsi share
34.6%
Fenwick share
33.3%
xG for / against
5.10 / 8.52
All observed combinations

Dallas Stars

This selection is unavailable until complete validated shift records cover every selected game.

All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Joey Daccord

Seattle Kraken · Last start: Oct 24

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
162
Save %
87.0
Goals allowed
21
Close-range shots %
34.0

Casey DeSmith

Dallas Stars · Last start: Oct 27

3 / 3 appearances covered

Shots faced
80
Save %
88.8
Goals allowed
9
Close-range shots %
35.0
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Apr 5, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Seattle Kraken

xG for / game
2.74
xG against / game
3.63
xG differential / game
-0.89

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Dallas Stars

xG for / game
3.29
xG against / game
2.64
xG differential / game
0.66

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Apr 5, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Seattle Kraken

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
51.3
Corsi share (%)
42.3
Fenwick share (%)
43.4
Faceoff win %
52.5
Penalties / game
3.6

Shots / game: 26.2 · Shooting: 13.7% · Avg distance: 34.6 ft

Dallas Stars

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
55.3
Corsi share (%)
52.0
Fenwick share (%)
53.1
Faceoff win %
56.4
Penalties / game
4.2

Shots / game: 26.8 · Shooting: 11.6% · Avg distance: 30.3 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Seattle Kraken SEA
Metric
Dallas Stars DAL
15Points15
0.625Points %0.625
45Goals for33
42Goals against25
3Goal differential8
L1Current streakL1
Road versus home
Seattle Kraken SEA road
Metric
Dallas Stars DAL home
7Games7
4Wins4
9Points8
3Goal differential1
Last 10 games
Seattle Kraken SEA
Metric
Dallas Stars DAL
6-3-1Record7-2-1
13Points15
38Goals for32
38Goals against19
0Goal differential13
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Seattle Kraken SEA 1 wins
10 games reviewed
Dallas Stars DAL 9 wins
Total goals15 – 33
Goal differential -18 / +18
Goals per game1.5 / 3.3
Shots per game28.4 / 27.0
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Feb 25, 2026
Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
1 - 4 19 - 32 View
Nov 26, 2025
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken
3 - 2 21 - 28 View
Nov 9, 2025
Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
1 - 2 31 - 25 View
Mar 31, 2025
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken
3 - 1 31 - 36 View
Mar 29, 2025
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken
5 - 1 21 - 36 View
Oct 13, 2024
Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
0 - 2 25 - 23 View
Apr 13, 2024
Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
1 - 3 27 - 30 View
Mar 30, 2024
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken
3 - 0 30 - 17 View
Dec 18, 2023
Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
3 - 4 38 - 28 View
Mar 21, 2023
Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
5 - 4 27 - 29 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.