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Seattle Kraken vs Dallas Stars prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for February 25, 2026

NHL matchup

Seattle Kraken at Dallas Stars

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for February 25, 2026.

February 25, 2026 · 7:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 25. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Seattle Kraken

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

94:00 together · 10 games

xG share50.0%
Corsi for / against
76 / 92
Fenwick for / against
54 / 68
Corsi share
45.2%
Fenwick share
44.3%
xG for / against
3.91 / 3.91
Defense pair

130:20 together · 10 games

xG share47.9%
Corsi for / against
112 / 133
Fenwick for / against
86 / 94
Corsi share
45.7%
Fenwick share
47.8%
xG for / against
6.16 / 6.70
All observed combinations

Dallas Stars

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

71:39 together · 10 games

xG share73.0%
Corsi for / against
82 / 51
Fenwick for / against
54 / 30
Corsi share
61.7%
Fenwick share
64.3%
xG for / against
4.01 / 1.48
Defense pair

124:18 together · 9 games

xG share54.8%
Corsi for / against
111 / 91
Fenwick for / against
80 / 53
Corsi share
55.0%
Fenwick share
60.2%
xG for / against
4.88 / 4.02
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Joey Daccord

Seattle Kraken · Last start: Feb 4

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
147
Save %
91.2
Goals allowed
13
Close-range shots %
26.5

Jake Oettinger

Dallas Stars · Last start: Feb 4

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
114
Save %
86.0
Goals allowed
16
Close-range shots %
23.7
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 25, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Seattle Kraken

xG for / game
2.58
xG against / game
2.99
xG differential / game
-0.41

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Dallas Stars

xG for / game
3.23
xG against / game
2.41
xG differential / game
0.82

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 25, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Seattle Kraken

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
49.9
Corsi share (%)
44.0
Fenwick share (%)
45.2
Faceoff win %
50.1
Penalties / game
4.2

Shots / game: 23.7 · Shooting: 14.8% · Avg distance: 33.3 ft

Dallas Stars

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
54.6
Corsi share (%)
51.6
Fenwick share (%)
54.4
Faceoff win %
53.2
Penalties / game
2.8

Shots / game: 27.0 · Shooting: 11.5% · Avg distance: 32.9 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Seattle Kraken SEA
Metric
Dallas Stars DAL
15Points15
0.625Points %0.682
45Goals for32
42Goals against20
3Goal differential12
L1Current streakW5
Road versus home
Seattle Kraken SEA road
Metric
Dallas Stars DAL home
7Games6
4Wins4
9Points8
3Goal differential5
Last 10 games
Seattle Kraken SEA
Metric
Dallas Stars DAL
6-3-1Record7-2-1
13Points15
38Goals for32
38Goals against16
0Goal differential16
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Seattle Kraken SEA 1 wins
10 games reviewed
Dallas Stars DAL 9 wins
Total goals16 – 34
Goal differential -18 / +18
Goals per game1.6 / 3.4
Shots per game29.3 / 27.0
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Nov 26, 2025
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken
3 - 2 21 - 28 View
Nov 9, 2025
Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
1 - 2 31 - 25 View
Mar 31, 2025
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken
3 - 1 31 - 36 View
Mar 29, 2025
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken
5 - 1 21 - 36 View
Oct 13, 2024
Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
0 - 2 25 - 23 View
Apr 13, 2024
Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
1 - 3 27 - 30 View
Mar 30, 2024
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken
3 - 0 30 - 17 View
Dec 18, 2023
Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
3 - 4 38 - 28 View
Mar 21, 2023
Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
5 - 4 27 - 29 View
Mar 13, 2023
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken
5 - 2 32 - 28 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.