Forward trio
60:57 together · 7 games
- Corsi for / against
- 37 / 55
- Fenwick for / against
- 23 / 36
- Corsi share
- 40.2%
- Fenwick share
- 39.0%
- xG for / against
- 1.26 / 2.29
Seattle Kraken vs Buffalo Sabres prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 28, 2026
NHL matchup
Seattle Kraken at Buffalo Sabres
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 28, 2026.
March 28, 2026
· 4:30 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game.
View final boxscore
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 28. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Seattle Kraken
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Defense pair
146:43 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 125 / 169
- Fenwick for / against
- 88 / 119
- Corsi share
- 42.5%
- Fenwick share
- 42.5%
- xG for / against
- 5.04 / 6.96
Buffalo Sabres
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
93:59 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 92 / 83
- Fenwick for / against
- 62 / 62
- Corsi share
- 52.6%
- Fenwick share
- 50.0%
- xG for / against
- 4.45 / 3.63
Defense pair
135:09 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 139 / 96
- Fenwick for / against
- 107 / 77
- Corsi share
- 59.1%
- Fenwick share
- 58.2%
- xG for / against
- 6.92 / 6.35
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Philipp Grubauer
Seattle Kraken · Last start: Mar 26
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 130
- Save %
- 88.5
- Goals allowed
- 15
- Close-range shots %
- 32.3
Alex Lyon
Buffalo Sabres · Last start: Mar 27
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 113
- Save %
- 86.7
- Goals allowed
- 15
- Close-range shots %
- 36.3
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 28, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Seattle Kraken
- xG for / game
- 2.55
- xG against / game
- 3.04
- xG differential / game
- -0.49
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Buffalo Sabres
- xG for / game
- 3.19
- xG against / game
- 2.91
- xG differential / game
- 0.28
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 28, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Seattle Kraken
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 50.8
- Corsi share (%)
- 44.6
- Fenwick share (%)
- 46.5
- Faceoff win %
- 46.4
- Penalties / game
- 3.0
Shots / game: 26.1 · Shooting: 11.9% · Avg distance: 33.9 ft
Buffalo Sabres
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 60.7
- Corsi share (%)
- 53.4
- Fenwick share (%)
- 53.0
- Faceoff win %
- 49.4
- Penalties / game
- 4.8
Shots / game: 29.0 · Shooting: 13.1% · Avg distance: 31.3 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
SEA
|
Metric |
BUF
|
|---|---|---|
| 15 | Points | 11 |
| 0.625 | Points % | 0.500 |
| 45 | Goals for | 31 |
| 42 | Goals against | 41 |
| 3 | Goal differential | -10 |
| L1 | Current streak | OT1 |
Road versus home
|
SEA road
|
Metric |
BUF home
|
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Games | 6 |
| 4 | Wins | 3 |
| 9 | Points | 6 |
| 3 | Goal differential | -5 |
Last 10 games
|
SEA
|
Metric |
BUF
|
|---|---|---|
| 6-3-1 | Record | 4-3-3 |
| 13 | Points | 11 |
| 38 | Goals for | 28 |
| 38 | Goals against | 35 |
| 0 | Goal differential | -7 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
SEA
7 wins
9
games reviewed
BUF
2 wins
Total goals41 – 27
Goal differential
+14
/
-14
Goals per game4.56 / 3.0
Shots per game29.2 / 29.2
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2025 |
Buffalo Sabres
at
Seattle Kraken
|
3 - 1 | 23 - 24 | View |
| Jan 20, 2025 |
Buffalo Sabres
at
Seattle Kraken
|
4 - 6 | 29 - 34 | View |
| Jan 11, 2025 |
Seattle Kraken
at
Buffalo Sabres
|
6 - 2 | 29 - 35 | View |
| Mar 18, 2024 |
Buffalo Sabres
at
Seattle Kraken
|
6 - 2 | 30 - 34 | View |
| Jan 9, 2024 |
Seattle Kraken
at
Buffalo Sabres
|
5 - 2 | 26 - 38 | View |
| Jan 10, 2023 |
Seattle Kraken
at
Buffalo Sabres
|
4 - 3 | 22 - 35 | View |
| Oct 25, 2022 |
Buffalo Sabres
at
Seattle Kraken
|
1 - 5 | 16 - 24 | View |
| Nov 29, 2021 |
Seattle Kraken
at
Buffalo Sabres
|
7 - 4 | 32 - 36 | View |
| Nov 4, 2021 |
Buffalo Sabres
at
Seattle Kraken
|
2 - 5 | 21 - 38 | View |