Skip to content

San Jose Sharks vs Winnipeg Jets prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for December 28, 2026

NHL matchup

San Jose Sharks at Winnipeg Jets

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for December 28, 2026.

December 28, 2026 · 6:30 PM CST
Away

San Jose Sharks

6-5-1

53.3% Model pick
at
Home

Winnipeg Jets

4-4-3

46.7%
Model V2 pick: San Jose Sharks at 53.3%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

San Jose Sharks logo
Away team

San Jose Sharks

53.3%
Fair American -114
Fair decimal 1.88
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Dec 28, 2026.

Winnipeg Jets

All Model Picks

Bets
4
Record
1-3
Net units
-2.07
ROI
-51.9%

Value Picks

Bets
6
Record
2-4
Net units
-0.82
ROI
-13.7%

Market Favourite

Bets
4
Record
1-3
Net units
-2.07
ROI
-51.9%
Full team betting results

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 28. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

San Jose Sharks

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

136:17 together · 10 games

xG share45.0%
Corsi for / against
116 / 148
Fenwick for / against
82 / 103
Corsi share
43.9%
Fenwick share
44.3%
xG for / against
4.90 / 5.98
All observed combinations

Winnipeg Jets

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

135:56 together · 10 games

xG share50.6%
Corsi for / against
159 / 130
Fenwick for / against
120 / 104
Corsi share
55.0%
Fenwick share
53.6%
xG for / against
7.78 / 7.59
Defense pair

121:50 together · 10 games

xG share47.1%
Corsi for / against
114 / 112
Fenwick for / against
83 / 81
Corsi share
50.4%
Fenwick share
50.6%
xG for / against
4.74 / 5.31
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Alex Nedeljkovic

San Jose Sharks · Last start: Oct 24

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
155
Save %
90.3
Goals allowed
15
Close-range shots %
31.6

Stuart Skinner

Winnipeg Jets · Last start: Oct 25

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
136
Save %
90.4
Goals allowed
13
Close-range shots %
38.2
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 28, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

San Jose Sharks

xG for / game
2.97
xG against / game
3.98
xG differential / game
-1.01

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Winnipeg Jets

xG for / game
2.87
xG against / game
3.38
xG differential / game
-0.51

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 28, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

San Jose Sharks

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
55.5
Corsi share (%)
45.7
Fenwick share (%)
45.1
Faceoff win %
47.0
Penalties / game
4.1

Shots / game: 28.0 · Shooting: 9.6% · Avg distance: 34.0 ft

Winnipeg Jets

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
56.6
Corsi share (%)
48.6
Fenwick share (%)
47.4
Faceoff win %
45.1
Penalties / game
2.9

Shots / game: 26.6 · Shooting: 9.0% · Avg distance: 32.0 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
San Jose Sharks SJS
Metric
Winnipeg Jets WPG
13Points11
0.542Points %0.500
37Goals for27
43Goals against31
-6Goal differential-4
L1Current streakL1
Road versus home
San Jose Sharks SJS road
Metric
Winnipeg Jets WPG home
8Games6
4Wins2
9Points5
-3Goal differential-3
Last 10 games
San Jose Sharks SJS
Metric
Winnipeg Jets WPG
4-5-1Record4-4-2
9Points10
28Goals for24
36Goals against27
-8Goal differential-3
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

San Jose Sharks SJS 4 wins
10 games reviewed
Winnipeg Jets WPG 6 wins
Total goals22 – 27
Goal differential -5 / +5
Goals per game2.2 / 2.7
Shots per game26.7 / 33.0
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Apr 16, 2026
San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks at Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets
6 - 1 33 - 26 View
Mar 1, 2026
Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets at San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks
1 - 2 28 - 33 View
Nov 7, 2025
Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets at San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks
1 - 2 33 - 28 View
Feb 24, 2025
San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks at Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets
1 - 2 18 - 35 View
Dec 17, 2024
Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets at San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks
4 - 3 33 - 35 View
Oct 18, 2024
San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks at Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets
3 - 8 22 - 36 View
Feb 14, 2024
San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks at Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets
0 - 1 17 - 39 View
Jan 4, 2024
Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets at San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks
2 - 1 30 - 28 View
Dec 12, 2023
Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets at San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks
1 - 2 37 - 32 View
Apr 10, 2023
San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks at Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets
2 - 6 21 - 33 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings SJS WPG