Forward trio
104:43 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 102 / 93
- Fenwick for / against
- 77 / 67
- Corsi share
- 52.3%
- Fenwick share
- 53.5%
- xG for / against
- 6.39 / 6.01
San Jose Sharks vs Washington Capitals prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 15, 2026
NHL matchup
San Jose Sharks at Washington Capitals
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 15, 2026.
January 15, 2026
· 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game.
View final boxscore
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 15. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
San Jose Sharks
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Defense pair
79:21 together · 6 games
- Corsi for / against
- 58 / 85
- Fenwick for / against
- 45 / 62
- Corsi share
- 40.6%
- Fenwick share
- 42.1%
- xG for / against
- 2.64 / 4.61
Washington Capitals
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
41:43 together · 8 games
- Corsi for / against
- 25 / 27
- Fenwick for / against
- 17 / 21
- Corsi share
- 48.1%
- Fenwick share
- 44.7%
- xG for / against
- 1.30 / 1.20
Defense pair
101:13 together · 8 games
- Corsi for / against
- 94 / 99
- Fenwick for / against
- 67 / 73
- Corsi share
- 48.7%
- Fenwick share
- 47.9%
- xG for / against
- 4.21 / 5.06
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Yaroslav Askarov
San Jose Sharks · Last start: Jan 11
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 132
- Save %
- 85.6
- Goals allowed
- 19
- Close-range shots %
- 36.4
Logan Thompson
Washington Capitals · Last start: Jan 13
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 149
- Save %
- 91.9
- Goals allowed
- 12
- Close-range shots %
- 34.2
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 15, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
San Jose Sharks
- xG for / game
- 3.44
- xG against / game
- 3.28
- xG differential / game
- 0.16
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Washington Capitals
- xG for / game
- 3.35
- xG against / game
- 3.24
- xG differential / game
- 0.10
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 15, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
San Jose Sharks
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 56.8
- Corsi share (%)
- 49.7
- Fenwick share (%)
- 50.4
- Faceoff win %
- 48.9
- Penalties / game
- 3.7
Shots / game: 27.6 · Shooting: 13.4% · Avg distance: 29.3 ft
Washington Capitals
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 56.2
- Corsi share (%)
- 47.3
- Fenwick share (%)
- 49.8
- Faceoff win %
- 53.1
- Penalties / game
- 4.6
Shots / game: 30.1 · Shooting: 12.0% · Avg distance: 34.5 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
SJS
|
Metric |
WSH
|
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Points | 14 |
| 0.500 | Points % | 0.636 |
| 37 | Goals for | 39 |
| 45 | Goals against | 34 |
| -8 | Goal differential | 5 |
| L2 | Current streak | W2 |
Road versus home
|
SJS road
|
Metric |
WSH home
|
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Games | 8 |
| 4 | Wins | 6 |
| 9 | Points | 12 |
| -3 | Goal differential | 6 |
Last 10 games
|
SJS
|
Metric |
WSH
|
|---|---|---|
| 4-5-1 | Record | 6-4-0 |
| 9 | Points | 12 |
| 28 | Goals for | 34 |
| 33 | Goals against | 32 |
| -5 | Goal differential | 2 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
SJS
4 wins
10
games reviewed
WSH
6 wins
Total goals22 – 36
Goal differential
-14
/
+14
Goals per game2.2 / 3.6
Shots per game28.4 / 29.7
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2025 |
Washington Capitals
at
San Jose Sharks
|
7 - 1 | 31 - 24 | View |
| Mar 15, 2025 |
Washington Capitals
at
San Jose Sharks
|
5 - 1 | 28 - 20 | View |
| Dec 3, 2024 |
San Jose Sharks
at
Washington Capitals
|
2 - 1 | 31 - 28 | View |
| Nov 27, 2023 |
Washington Capitals
at
San Jose Sharks
|
1 - 2 | 34 - 23 | View |
| Oct 29, 2023 |
San Jose Sharks
at
Washington Capitals
|
1 - 3 | 31 - 42 | View |
| Mar 4, 2023 |
Washington Capitals
at
San Jose Sharks
|
8 - 3 | 30 - 41 | View |
| Feb 12, 2023 |
San Jose Sharks
at
Washington Capitals
|
4 - 1 | 33 - 21 | View |
| Jan 26, 2022 |
San Jose Sharks
at
Washington Capitals
|
4 - 1 | 30 - 33 | View |
| Nov 20, 2021 |
Washington Capitals
at
San Jose Sharks
|
4 - 0 | 21 - 22 | View |
| Jan 5, 2020 |
San Jose Sharks
at
Washington Capitals
|
4 - 5 | 29 - 29 | View |