Away team
San Jose Sharks
46.8%
Fair American
+114
Fair decimal
2.14
San Jose Sharks vs St. Louis Blues prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 11, 2027
NHL matchup
San Jose Sharks at St. Louis Blues
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 11, 2027.
March 11, 2027
· 7:00 PM CST
Model V2 pick:
St. Louis Blues at 53.2%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
St. Louis Blues
53.2%
Fair American
-114
Fair decimal
1.88
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Mar 11, 2027.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 4
- Record
- 2-2
- Net units
- 0.45
- ROI
- 11.3%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 9
- Record
- 4-5
- Net units
- 0.66
- ROI
- 7.3%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 1
- Record
- 1-0
- Net units
- 0.89
- ROI
- 89.3%
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 4
- Record
- 2-2
- Net units
- 0.60
- ROI
- 15.0%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 5
- Record
- 3-2
- Net units
- 1.70
- ROI
- 34.0%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 6
- Record
- 2-4
- Net units
- -2.49
- ROI
- -41.4%
This game and later dates are excluded.
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 11. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
San Jose Sharks
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
63:28 together · 7 games
- Corsi for / against
- 76 / 51
- Fenwick for / against
- 59 / 36
- Corsi share
- 59.8%
- Fenwick share
- 62.1%
- xG for / against
- 4.69 / 2.73
Defense pair
128:35 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 111 / 133
- Fenwick for / against
- 79 / 95
- Corsi share
- 45.5%
- Fenwick share
- 45.4%
- xG for / against
- 4.57 / 5.46
St. Louis Blues
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
108:25 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 99 / 102
- Fenwick for / against
- 70 / 77
- Corsi share
- 49.3%
- Fenwick share
- 47.6%
- xG for / against
- 4.63 / 4.76
Defense pair
109:44 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 96 / 102
- Fenwick for / against
- 67 / 86
- Corsi share
- 48.5%
- Fenwick share
- 43.8%
- xG for / against
- 5.37 / 5.98
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
San Jose Sharks
Expected starter unavailable.
St. Louis Blues
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Yaroslav Askarov
San Jose Sharks · Last start: Oct 27
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 159
- Save %
- 91.8
- Goals allowed
- 13
- Close-range shots %
- 35.2
Jordan Binnington
St. Louis Blues · Last start: Oct 27
4 / 4 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 104
- Save %
- 84.6
- Goals allowed
- 16
- Close-range shots %
- 34.6
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 11, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
San Jose Sharks
- xG for / game
- 3.07
- xG against / game
- 3.93
- xG differential / game
- -0.86
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
St. Louis Blues
- xG for / game
- 3.12
- xG against / game
- 2.68
- xG differential / game
- 0.44
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 11, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
San Jose Sharks
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 58.6
- Corsi share (%)
- 47.0
- Fenwick share (%)
- 45.9
- Faceoff win %
- 48.0
- Penalties / game
- 4.1
Shots / game: 29.0 · Shooting: 9.3% · Avg distance: 34.0 ft
St. Louis Blues
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 57.0
- Corsi share (%)
- 51.6
- Fenwick share (%)
- 49.6
- Faceoff win %
- 51.5
- Penalties / game
- 2.8
Shots / game: 28.7 · Shooting: 10.5% · Avg distance: 30.9 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
SJS
|
Metric |
STL
|
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Points | 11 |
| 0.500 | Points % | 0.458 |
| 37 | Goals for | 35 |
| 45 | Goals against | 37 |
| -8 | Goal differential | -2 |
| L2 | Current streak | L2 |
Road versus home
|
SJS road
|
Metric |
STL home
|
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Games | 6 |
| 4 | Wins | 3 |
| 9 | Points | 7 |
| -3 | Goal differential | 0 |
Last 10 games
|
SJS
|
Metric |
STL
|
|---|---|---|
| 4-5-1 | Record | 4-5-1 |
| 9 | Points | 9 |
| 28 | Goals for | 30 |
| 33 | Goals against | 31 |
| -5 | Goal differential | -1 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
SJS
6 wins
10
games reviewed
STL
4 wins
Total goals33 – 25
Goal differential
+8
/
-8
Goals per game3.3 / 2.5
Shots per game27.0 / 29.6
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2026 |
San Jose Sharks
at
St. Louis Blues
|
3 - 2 | 27 - 26 | View |
| Mar 30, 2026 |
St. Louis Blues
at
San Jose Sharks
|
4 - 5 | 26 - 29 | View |
| Mar 26, 2026 |
San Jose Sharks
at
St. Louis Blues
|
1 - 2 | 25 - 23 | View |
| Mar 6, 2026 |
St. Louis Blues
at
San Jose Sharks
|
3 - 2 | 14 - 25 | View |
| Dec 12, 2024 |
San Jose Sharks
at
St. Louis Blues
|
4 - 3 | 31 - 20 | View |
| Nov 21, 2024 |
San Jose Sharks
at
St. Louis Blues
|
2 - 3 | 24 - 31 | View |
| Oct 10, 2024 |
St. Louis Blues
at
San Jose Sharks
|
5 - 4 | 40 - 29 | View |
| Apr 6, 2024 |
St. Louis Blues
at
San Jose Sharks
|
2 - 3 | 36 - 25 | View |
| Mar 30, 2024 |
San Jose Sharks
at
St. Louis Blues
|
4 - 0 | 20 - 35 | View |
| Nov 16, 2023 |
St. Louis Blues
at
San Jose Sharks
|
1 - 5 | 45 - 35 | View |