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San Jose Sharks vs St. Louis Blues prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for October 8, 2026

NHL matchup

San Jose Sharks at St. Louis Blues

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for October 8, 2026.

October 8, 2026 · 7:00 PM CST
Away

San Jose Sharks

6-6-1

3
Final
Home

St. Louis Blues

5-6-1

2 Model pick
Model V2 pick: St. Louis Blues at 52.6% View final boxscore
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

San Jose Sharks logo
Away team

San Jose Sharks

47.4%
Fair American +111
Fair decimal 2.11
Best market +133 · BetRivers
Market implied 42.9%
Edge +4.5%
Expected value +10.4%
Calculate value
St. Louis Blues logo
Home team

St. Louis Blues

52.6%
Fair American -111
Fair decimal 1.9
Best market -142 · DraftKings
Market implied 58.7%
Edge -6.1%
Expected value -10.4%
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Oct 8, 2026.

St. Louis Blues

All Model Picks

Bets
1
Record
1-0
Net units
1.60
ROI
160.0%

Value Picks

Bets
2
Record
1-1
Net units
0.60
ROI
30.0%

Market Favourite

Bets
1
Record
0-1
Net units
-1.00
ROI
-100.0%
Full team betting results

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 8. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

San Jose Sharks

3 / 3 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

43:18 together · 3 games

xG share30.6%
Corsi for / against
30 / 50
Fenwick for / against
21 / 31
Corsi share
37.5%
Fenwick share
40.4%
xG for / against
1.09 / 2.47
All observed combinations

St. Louis Blues

3 / 3 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

29:03 together · 3 games

xG share83.3%
Corsi for / against
32 / 11
Fenwick for / against
22 / 9
Corsi share
74.4%
Fenwick share
71.0%
xG for / against
1.54 / 0.31
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Yaroslav Askarov

San Jose Sharks · Last start: Oct 5

3 / 3 appearances covered

Shots faced
87
Save %
86.2
Goals allowed
12
Close-range shots %
33.3

Joel Hofer

St. Louis Blues · Last start: Oct 6

2 / 2 appearances covered

Shots faced
44
Save %
95.5
Goals allowed
2
Close-range shots %
31.8
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 8, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

San Jose Sharks

xG for / game
2.52
xG against / game
4.18
xG differential / game
-1.66

3 / 3 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

St. Louis Blues

xG for / game
2.49
xG against / game
2.82
xG differential / game
-0.34

3 / 3 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 8, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

San Jose Sharks

3 / 3 games covered

Attempts / game
47.3
Corsi share (%)
40.9
Fenwick share (%)
40.7
Faceoff win %
44.4
Penalties / game
4.33

Shots / game: 23.3 · Shooting: 12.9% · Avg distance: 35.3 ft

St. Louis Blues

3 / 3 games covered

Attempts / game
55.0
Corsi share (%)
49.8
Fenwick share (%)
47.7
Faceoff win %
44.6
Penalties / game
4.0

Shots / game: 25.7 · Shooting: 9.1% · Avg distance: 35.7 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
San Jose Sharks SJS
Metric
St. Louis Blues STL
13Points11
0.500Points %0.458
37Goals for35
45Goals against37
-8Goal differential-2
L2Current streakL2
Road versus home
San Jose Sharks SJS road
Metric
St. Louis Blues STL home
8Games6
4Wins3
9Points7
-3Goal differential0
Last 10 games
San Jose Sharks SJS
Metric
St. Louis Blues STL
4-5-1Record4-5-1
9Points9
28Goals for30
33Goals against31
-5Goal differential-1
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

San Jose Sharks SJS 5 wins
10 games reviewed
St. Louis Blues STL 5 wins
Total goals32 – 27
Goal differential +5 / -5
Goals per game3.2 / 2.7
Shots per game27.7 / 30.0
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Mar 30, 2026
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks
4 - 5 26 - 29 View
Mar 26, 2026
San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
1 - 2 25 - 23 View
Mar 6, 2026
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks
3 - 2 14 - 25 View
Dec 12, 2024
San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
4 - 3 31 - 20 View
Nov 21, 2024
San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
2 - 3 24 - 31 View
Oct 10, 2024
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks
5 - 4 40 - 29 View
Apr 6, 2024
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks
2 - 3 36 - 25 View
Mar 30, 2024
San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
4 - 0 20 - 35 View
Nov 16, 2023
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks
1 - 5 45 - 35 View
Mar 9, 2023
San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
2 - 4 34 - 30 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings SJS STL