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San Jose Sharks vs Seattle Kraken prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for December 22, 2026

NHL matchup

San Jose Sharks at Seattle Kraken

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for December 22, 2026.

December 22, 2026 · 8:40 PM CST
Model V2 pick: Seattle Kraken at 52.2%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

San Jose Sharks logo
Away team

San Jose Sharks

47.8%
Fair American +109
Fair decimal 2.09
Calculate value
Seattle Kraken logo
Home team

Seattle Kraken

52.2%
Fair American -109
Fair decimal 1.92
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Dec 22, 2026.

All Model Picks

Bets
5
Record
4-1
Net units
2.88
ROI
57.7%

Value Picks

Bets
10
Record
5-5
Net units
1.57
ROI
15.7%

Market Favourite

Bets
2
Record
2-0
Net units
1.59
ROI
79.6%

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 22. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

San Jose Sharks

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

128:35 together · 10 games

xG share45.6%
Corsi for / against
111 / 133
Fenwick for / against
79 / 95
Corsi share
45.5%
Fenwick share
45.4%
xG for / against
4.57 / 5.46
All observed combinations

Seattle Kraken

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

81:54 together · 10 games

xG share56.9%
Corsi for / against
86 / 90
Fenwick for / against
62 / 61
Corsi share
48.9%
Fenwick share
50.4%
xG for / against
4.48 / 3.40
Defense pair

152:33 together · 10 games

xG share37.4%
Corsi for / against
117 / 221
Fenwick for / against
81 / 162
Corsi share
34.6%
Fenwick share
33.3%
xG for / against
5.10 / 8.52
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Yaroslav Askarov

San Jose Sharks · Last start: Oct 27

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
158
Save %
91.8
Goals allowed
13
Close-range shots %
35.4

Joey Daccord

Seattle Kraken · Last start: Oct 24

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
162
Save %
87.0
Goals allowed
21
Close-range shots %
34.0
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 22, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

San Jose Sharks

xG for / game
3.07
xG against / game
3.93
xG differential / game
-0.86

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Seattle Kraken

xG for / game
2.74
xG against / game
3.63
xG differential / game
-0.89

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 22, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

San Jose Sharks

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
58.6
Corsi share (%)
47.0
Fenwick share (%)
45.9
Faceoff win %
48.0
Penalties / game
4.1

Shots / game: 29.0 · Shooting: 9.3% · Avg distance: 34.0 ft

Seattle Kraken

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
51.3
Corsi share (%)
42.3
Fenwick share (%)
43.4
Faceoff win %
52.5
Penalties / game
3.6

Shots / game: 26.2 · Shooting: 13.7% · Avg distance: 34.6 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
San Jose Sharks SJS
Metric
Seattle Kraken SEA
13Points15
0.500Points %0.625
37Goals for45
45Goals against42
-8Goal differential3
L2Current streakL1
Road versus home
San Jose Sharks SJS road
Metric
Seattle Kraken SEA home
8Games5
4Wins3
9Points6
-3Goal differential0
Last 10 games
San Jose Sharks SJS
Metric
Seattle Kraken SEA
4-5-1Record6-3-1
9Points13
28Goals for38
33Goals against38
-5Goal differential0
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

San Jose Sharks SJS 5 wins
10 games reviewed
Seattle Kraken SEA 5 wins
Total goals31 – 32
Goal differential -1 / +1
Goals per game3.1 / 3.2
Shots per game25.8 / 32.3
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Dec 20, 2025
Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken at San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks
4 - 2 32 - 36 View
Nov 15, 2025
San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks at Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken
1 - 4 26 - 23 View
Nov 5, 2025
San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks at Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken
6 - 1 23 - 30 View
Apr 5, 2025
Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken at San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks
5 - 1 22 - 24 View
Jan 30, 2025
San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks at Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken
2 - 6 28 - 33 View
Nov 30, 2024
San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks at Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken
4 - 2 23 - 38 View
Nov 29, 2024
Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken at San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks
5 - 8 31 - 27 View
Apr 11, 2024
San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks at Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken
3 - 1 23 - 50 View
Apr 1, 2024
Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken at San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks
4 - 2 32 - 26 View
Jan 30, 2024
Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken at San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks
0 - 2 32 - 22 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.