Forward trio
85:22 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 85 / 90
- Fenwick for / against
- 63 / 71
- Corsi share
- 48.6%
- Fenwick share
- 47.0%
- xG for / against
- 3.34 / 3.83
San Jose Sharks vs Ottawa Senators prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 15, 2026
NHL matchup
San Jose Sharks at Ottawa Senators
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 15, 2026.
March 15, 2026
· 4:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game.
View final boxscore
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 15. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
San Jose Sharks
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Defense pair
143:40 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 152 / 136
- Fenwick for / against
- 114 / 103
- Corsi share
- 52.8%
- Fenwick share
- 52.5%
- xG for / against
- 8.14 / 8.76
Ottawa Senators
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
99:16 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 95 / 90
- Fenwick for / against
- 76 / 65
- Corsi share
- 51.4%
- Fenwick share
- 53.9%
- xG for / against
- 5.46 / 3.70
Defense pair
124:51 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 122 / 89
- Fenwick for / against
- 91 / 62
- Corsi share
- 57.8%
- Fenwick share
- 59.5%
- xG for / against
- 6.26 / 4.37
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Alex Nedeljkovic
San Jose Sharks · Last start: Mar 14
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 117
- Save %
- 91.5
- Goals allowed
- 10
- Close-range shots %
- 34.2
Linus Ullmark
Ottawa Senators · Last start: Mar 14
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 125
- Save %
- 89.6
- Goals allowed
- 13
- Close-range shots %
- 36.0
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 15, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
San Jose Sharks
- xG for / game
- 2.97
- xG against / game
- 3.20
- xG differential / game
- -0.23
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Ottawa Senators
- xG for / game
- 3.54
- xG against / game
- 2.42
- xG differential / game
- 1.12
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 15, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
San Jose Sharks
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 55.4
- Corsi share (%)
- 48.6
- Fenwick share (%)
- 48.9
- Faceoff win %
- 46.1
- Penalties / game
- 3.9
Shots / game: 28.0 · Shooting: 11.1% · Avg distance: 32.0 ft
Ottawa Senators
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 61.0
- Corsi share (%)
- 54.3
- Fenwick share (%)
- 54.9
- Faceoff win %
- 50.6
- Penalties / game
- 3.8
Shots / game: 30.2 · Shooting: 10.6% · Avg distance: 31.2 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
SJS
|
Metric |
OTT
|
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Points | 16 |
| 0.500 | Points % | 0.615 |
| 37 | Goals for | 39 |
| 45 | Goals against | 38 |
| -8 | Goal differential | 1 |
| L2 | Current streak | L1 |
Road versus home
|
SJS road
|
Metric |
OTT home
|
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Games | 7 |
| 4 | Wins | 5 |
| 9 | Points | 10 |
| -3 | Goal differential | 1 |
Last 10 games
|
SJS
|
Metric |
OTT
|
|---|---|---|
| 4-5-1 | Record | 6-4-0 |
| 9 | Points | 12 |
| 28 | Goals for | 29 |
| 33 | Goals against | 30 |
| -5 | Goal differential | -1 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
SJS
4 wins
10
games reviewed
OTT
6 wins
Total goals30 – 30
Goal differential
0
/
0
Goals per game3.0 / 3.0
Shots per game28.7 / 31.8
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2025 |
Ottawa Senators
at
San Jose Sharks
|
3 - 2 | 27 - 19 | View |
| Mar 1, 2025 |
San Jose Sharks
at
Ottawa Senators
|
3 - 5 | 37 - 32 | View |
| Nov 27, 2024 |
Ottawa Senators
at
San Jose Sharks
|
4 - 3 | 11 - 39 | View |
| Mar 9, 2024 |
Ottawa Senators
at
San Jose Sharks
|
1 - 2 | 32 - 21 | View |
| Jan 13, 2024 |
San Jose Sharks
at
Ottawa Senators
|
4 - 5 | 18 - 41 | View |
| Dec 3, 2022 |
San Jose Sharks
at
Ottawa Senators
|
2 - 5 | 37 - 39 | View |
| Nov 21, 2022 |
Ottawa Senators
at
San Jose Sharks
|
1 - 5 | 38 - 31 | View |
| Nov 24, 2021 |
Ottawa Senators
at
San Jose Sharks
|
3 - 6 | 29 - 29 | View |
| Oct 21, 2021 |
San Jose Sharks
at
Ottawa Senators
|
2 - 1 | 24 - 31 | View |
| Mar 7, 2020 |
Ottawa Senators
at
San Jose Sharks
|
2 - 1 | 38 - 32 | View |