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San Jose Sharks vs Montréal Canadiens prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 14, 2026

NHL matchup

San Jose Sharks at Montréal Canadiens

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 14, 2026.

March 14, 2026 · 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 14. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

San Jose Sharks

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

76:14 together · 9 games

xG share47.0%
Corsi for / against
77 / 76
Fenwick for / against
55 / 58
Corsi share
50.3%
Fenwick share
48.7%
xG for / against
2.70 / 3.05
Defense pair

128:20 together · 9 games

xG share44.5%
Corsi for / against
135 / 120
Fenwick for / against
100 / 91
Corsi share
52.9%
Fenwick share
52.4%
xG for / against
6.55 / 8.16
All observed combinations

Montréal Canadiens

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

107:41 together · 10 games

xG share59.3%
Corsi for / against
121 / 83
Fenwick for / against
90 / 58
Corsi share
59.3%
Fenwick share
60.8%
xG for / against
7.11 / 4.88
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Alex Nedeljkovic

San Jose Sharks · Last start: Mar 12

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
132
Save %
91.7
Goals allowed
11
Close-range shots %
37.1

Jacob Fowler

Montréal Canadiens · Last start: Mar 11

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
131
Save %
90.8
Goals allowed
12
Close-range shots %
26.0
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 14, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

San Jose Sharks

xG for / game
2.89
xG against / game
3.14
xG differential / game
-0.25

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Montréal Canadiens

xG for / game
3.39
xG against / game
3.59
xG differential / game
-0.20

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 14, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

San Jose Sharks

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
55.3
Corsi share (%)
49.7
Fenwick share (%)
49.9
Faceoff win %
47.6
Penalties / game
4.0

Shots / game: 28.5 · Shooting: 10.5% · Avg distance: 31.7 ft

Montréal Canadiens

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
56.8
Corsi share (%)
46.5
Fenwick share (%)
46.8
Faceoff win %
54.0
Penalties / game
3.7

Shots / game: 27.1 · Shooting: 15.1% · Avg distance: 33.0 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
San Jose Sharks SJS
Metric
Montréal Canadiens MTL
13Points14
0.542Points %0.636
37Goals for36
43Goals against36
-6Goal differential0
L1Current streakW2
Road versus home
San Jose Sharks SJS road
Metric
Montréal Canadiens MTL home
8Games6
4Wins3
9Points7
-3Goal differential-3
Last 10 games
San Jose Sharks SJS
Metric
Montréal Canadiens MTL
4-5-1Record5-3-2
9Points12
28Goals for33
36Goals against34
-8Goal differential-1
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

San Jose Sharks SJS 5 wins
10 games reviewed
Montréal Canadiens MTL 5 wins
Total goals32 – 27
Goal differential +5 / -5
Goals per game3.2 / 2.7
Shots per game30.8 / 29.9
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Mar 3, 2026
Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens at San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks
5 - 7 37 - 28 View
Feb 27, 2025
San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks at Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens
3 - 4 26 - 33 View
Feb 4, 2025
Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens at San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks
4 - 3 20 - 30 View
Jan 11, 2024
San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks at Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens
3 - 2 35 - 35 View
Nov 24, 2023
Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens at San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks
3 - 2 24 - 33 View
Feb 28, 2023
Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens at San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks
3 - 1 32 - 39 View
Nov 29, 2022
San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks at Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens
4 - 0 24 - 28 View
Oct 28, 2021
Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens at San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks
4 - 0 32 - 45 View
Oct 19, 2021
San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks at Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens
5 - 0 25 - 21 View
Oct 24, 2019
San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks at Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens
4 - 2 23 - 37 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.