Forward trio
104:55 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 102 / 93
- Fenwick for / against
- 77 / 67
- Corsi share
- 52.3%
- Fenwick share
- 53.5%
- xG for / against
- 6.39 / 6.01
San Jose Sharks vs Detroit Red Wings prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 16, 2026
NHL matchup
San Jose Sharks at Detroit Red Wings
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 16, 2026.
January 16, 2026
· 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game.
View final boxscore
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 16. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
San Jose Sharks
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Defense pair
78:46 together · 6 games
- Corsi for / against
- 69 / 66
- Fenwick for / against
- 53 / 51
- Corsi share
- 51.1%
- Fenwick share
- 51.0%
- xG for / against
- 3.10 / 3.09
Detroit Red Wings
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
96:16 together · 9 games
- Corsi for / against
- 85 / 103
- Fenwick for / against
- 66 / 63
- Corsi share
- 45.2%
- Fenwick share
- 51.2%
- xG for / against
- 4.57 / 3.48
Defense pair
177:09 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 132 / 177
- Fenwick for / against
- 96 / 118
- Corsi share
- 42.7%
- Fenwick share
- 44.9%
- xG for / against
- 5.60 / 6.89
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Alex Nedeljkovic
San Jose Sharks · Last start: Jan 15
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 105
- Save %
- 85.7
- Goals allowed
- 15
- Close-range shots %
- 43.8
Cam Talbot
Detroit Red Wings · Last start: Jan 13
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 159
- Save %
- 91.2
- Goals allowed
- 14
- Close-range shots %
- 23.3
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 16, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
San Jose Sharks
- xG for / game
- 3.27
- xG against / game
- 3.31
- xG differential / game
- -0.04
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Detroit Red Wings
- xG for / game
- 2.54
- xG against / game
- 3.23
- xG differential / game
- -0.69
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 16, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
San Jose Sharks
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 53.5
- Corsi share (%)
- 48.0
- Fenwick share (%)
- 48.9
- Faceoff win %
- 50.3
- Penalties / game
- 3.8
Shots / game: 26.5 · Shooting: 14.3% · Avg distance: 29.7 ft
Detroit Red Wings
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 50.7
- Corsi share (%)
- 43.0
- Fenwick share (%)
- 43.2
- Faceoff win %
- 47.0
- Penalties / game
- 2.9
Shots / game: 22.6 · Shooting: 12.8% · Avg distance: 33.6 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
SJS
|
Metric |
DET
|
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Points | 13 |
| 0.500 | Points % | 0.542 |
| 37 | Goals for | 33 |
| 45 | Goals against | 37 |
| -8 | Goal differential | -4 |
| L2 | Current streak | W1 |
Road versus home
|
SJS road
|
Metric |
DET home
|
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Games | 7 |
| 4 | Wins | 3 |
| 9 | Points | 7 |
| -3 | Goal differential | -3 |
Last 10 games
|
SJS
|
Metric |
DET
|
|---|---|---|
| 4-5-1 | Record | 5-2-3 |
| 9 | Points | 13 |
| 28 | Goals for | 31 |
| 33 | Goals against | 32 |
| -5 | Goal differential | -1 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
SJS
4 wins
10
games reviewed
DET
6 wins
Total goals33 – 40
Goal differential
-7
/
+7
Goals per game3.3 / 4.0
Shots per game29.4 / 27.1
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2025 |
Detroit Red Wings
at
San Jose Sharks
|
3 - 2 | 32 - 18 | View |
| Jan 14, 2025 |
San Jose Sharks
at
Detroit Red Wings
|
6 - 3 | 24 - 28 | View |
| Nov 18, 2024 |
Detroit Red Wings
at
San Jose Sharks
|
4 - 5 | 20 - 34 | View |
| Jan 2, 2024 |
Detroit Red Wings
at
San Jose Sharks
|
5 - 3 | 31 - 27 | View |
| Dec 7, 2023 |
San Jose Sharks
at
Detroit Red Wings
|
6 - 5 | 36 - 31 | View |
| Jan 24, 2023 |
San Jose Sharks
at
Detroit Red Wings
|
2 - 3 | 30 - 35 | View |
| Nov 17, 2022 |
Detroit Red Wings
at
San Jose Sharks
|
7 - 4 | 21 - 25 | View |
| Jan 11, 2022 |
Detroit Red Wings
at
San Jose Sharks
|
2 - 3 | 19 - 40 | View |
| Jan 4, 2022 |
San Jose Sharks
at
Detroit Red Wings
|
2 - 6 | 26 - 31 | View |
| Dec 31, 2019 |
San Jose Sharks
at
Detroit Red Wings
|
0 - 2 | 34 - 23 | View |